Recent opinion polls ahead of Israel’s October 27 Knesset election project Likud winning roughly 20–23 seats, well below its current 32, producing the strong trader consensus that the party will lose seats. This positioning reflects sustained voter shifts toward challenger parties such as Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar, which leads or ties Likud in most surveys, alongside Naftali Bennett’s Together and other opposition lists. Netanyahu’s broader governing bloc averages 51–55 seats across trackers, short of the 61-seat majority threshold, while the opposition Zionist bloc hovers near or slightly above that line. The pattern has held through multiple polling houses in September, with limited volatility in the final month before the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于91% 概率
$18,302 交易量
$18,302 交易量
2027-06-30
91% 概率
$18,302 交易量
$18,302 交易量
2027-06-30
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent opinion polls ahead of Israel’s October 27 Knesset election project Likud winning roughly 20–23 seats, well below its current 32, producing the strong trader consensus that the party will lose seats. This positioning reflects sustained voter shifts toward challenger parties such as Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar, which leads or ties Likud in most surveys, alongside Naftali Bennett’s Together and other opposition lists. Netanyahu’s broader governing bloc averages 51–55 seats across trackers, short of the 61-seat majority threshold, while the opposition Zionist bloc hovers near or slightly above that line. The pattern has held through multiple polling houses in September, with limited volatility in the final month before the vote.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
市场开放时间： Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
交易量
$18,302结束日期
2027-07-01市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ETLegislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent opinion polls ahead of Israel’s October 27 Knesset election project Likud winning roughly 20–23 seats, well below its current 32, producing the strong trader consensus that the party will lose seats. This positioning reflects sustained voter shifts toward challenger parties such as Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar, which leads or ties Likud in most surveys, alongside Naftali Bennett’s Together and other opposition lists. Netanyahu’s broader governing bloc averages 51–55 seats across trackers, short of the 61-seat majority threshold, while the opposition Zionist bloc hovers near or slightly above that line. The pattern has held through multiple polling houses in September, with limited volatility in the final month before the vote.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
交易量
$18,302结束日期
2027-07-01市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ETRecent opinion polls ahead of Israel’s October 27 Knesset election project Likud winning roughly 20–23 seats, well below its current 32, producing the strong trader consensus that the party will lose seats. This positioning reflects sustained voter shifts toward challenger parties such as Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar, which leads or ties Likud in most surveys, alongside Naftali Bennett’s Together and other opposition lists. Netanyahu’s broader governing bloc averages 51–55 seats across trackers, short of the 61-seat majority threshold, while the opposition Zionist bloc hovers near or slightly above that line. The pattern has held through multiple polling houses in September, with limited volatility in the final month before the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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