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icon for 杰伊·克莱顿( Jay Clayton )被确认为国家情报局局长...... ?

杰伊·克莱顿( Jay Clayton )被确认为国家情报局局长...... ?

icon for 杰伊·克莱顿( Jay Clayton )被确认为国家情报局局长...... ?

杰伊·克莱顿( Jay Clayton )被确认为国家情报局局长...... ?

最新
2027-01-01
Polymarket

$4,471 交易量

Polymarket

6月30日

$3,365 交易量

3%

8月30日

$316 交易量

67%

10月31日

$412 交易量

85%

12月31日

$379 交易量

82%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jay Clayton is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Jay Clayton's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Director of National Intelligence for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**President Trump’s nomination of Jay Clayton, the U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York and former SEC Chair, for Director of National Intelligence has drawn broad bipartisan praise for his prosecutorial record on national security matters and regulatory leadership.** A Senate Intelligence Committee hearing scheduled for June 17 was abruptly postponed after the president linked progress to confirmation of Clayton’s SDNY successor and advancement of a voter ID bill, allowing acting DNI Bill Pulte to continue in the role temporarily. Republican Senate leaders had signaled intent for rapid consideration, with some statements noting Clayton’s established relationships on Capitol Hill. The episode ties DNI confirmation to concurrent legislative and personnel timelines, including surveillance authorities, creating near-term uncertainty while the nominee’s qualifications remain a source of cross-aisle support.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jay Clayton is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Jay Clayton's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

The Senate must confirm this nominee as Director of National Intelligence for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$4,471
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 11:02 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jay Clayton is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Jay Clayton's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Director of National Intelligence for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jay Clayton is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Jay Clayton's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Director of National Intelligence for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**President Trump’s nomination of Jay Clayton, the U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York and former SEC Chair, for Director of National Intelligence has drawn broad bipartisan praise for his prosecutorial record on national security matters and regulatory leadership.** A Senate Intelligence Committee hearing scheduled for June 17 was abruptly postponed after the president linked progress to confirmation of Clayton’s SDNY successor and advancement of a voter ID bill, allowing acting DNI Bill Pulte to continue in the role temporarily. Republican Senate leaders had signaled intent for rapid consideration, with some statements noting Clayton’s established relationships on Capitol Hill. The episode ties DNI confirmation to concurrent legislative and personnel timelines, including surveillance authorities, creating near-term uncertainty while the nominee’s qualifications remain a source of cross-aisle support.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jay Clayton is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Jay Clayton's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

The Senate must confirm this nominee as Director of National Intelligence for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$4,471
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 11:02 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jay Clayton is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Jay Clayton's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Director of National Intelligence for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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常见问题

"杰伊·克莱顿( Jay Clayton )被确认为国家情报局局长...... ?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 4 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"10月31日",概率为 85%,其次是"12月31日",概率为 82%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 85¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 85%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"杰伊·克莱顿( Jay Clayton )被确认为国家情报局局长...... ?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Jun 12, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"杰伊·克莱顿( Jay Clayton )被确认为国家情报局局长...... ?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 4 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"杰伊·克莱顿( Jay Clayton )被确认为国家情报局局长...... ?"的当前领先者是"10月31日",概率为 85%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 85%。紧随其后的结果是"12月31日",概率为 82%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"杰伊·克莱顿( Jay Clayton )被确认为国家情报局局长...... ?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。