Sen. John Fetterman has repeatedly reaffirmed his commitment to the Democratic Party in recent statements, including a May 7 Washington Post op-ed declaring no plans to leave and a late-night interview this week doubling down amid speculation fueled by his independent streak on issues like border security and Israel policy. Despite quiet Republican courtship reported earlier this month and criticism from some Pennsylvania Democrats, Senate leaders like Chuck Schumer have praised him as a valued caucus member, emphasizing party unity ahead of 2028 reelection dynamics. With just six weeks until the June 30 deadline, traders' near-unanimous 95.5% "No" reflects his consistent denials and the high procedural barriers to a mid-term party switch, though unforeseen scandals or health events could still prompt a shift.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-06-30
最新
最新
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman officially announces that he is leaving, or formally leaves, the Democratic Party by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Announcements from Fetterman that he will join the Republican Party, become an independent, join another political party, or otherwise cease to be a member of the Democratic Party will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Fetterman has formally left the Democratic Party will also suffice.
Statements criticizing the Democratic Party, voting with Republicans, endorsing Republican candidates, describing himself as bipartisan or independent-minded, or expressing disagreement with Democratic Party positions will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that he is leaving the Democratic Party or a consensus of credible reporting that he has formally left the Democratic Party.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sen. John Fetterman has repeatedly reaffirmed his commitment to the Democratic Party in recent statements, including a May 7 Washington Post op-ed declaring no plans to leave and a late-night interview this week doubling down amid speculation fueled by his independent streak on issues like border security and Israel policy. Despite quiet Republican courtship reported earlier this month and criticism from some Pennsylvania Democrats, Senate leaders like Chuck Schumer have praised him as a valued caucus member, emphasizing party unity ahead of 2028 reelection dynamics. With just six weeks until the June 30 deadline, traders' near-unanimous 95.5% "No" reflects his consistent denials and the high procedural barriers to a mid-term party switch, though unforeseen scandals or health events could still prompt a shift.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman officially announces that he is leaving, or formally leaves, the Democratic Party by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Announcements from Fetterman that he will join the Republican Party, become an independent, join another political party, or otherwise cease to be a member of the Democratic Party will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Fetterman has formally left the Democratic Party will also suffice.
Statements criticizing the Democratic Party, voting with Republicans, endorsing Republican candidates, describing himself as bipartisan or independent-minded, or expressing disagreement with Democratic Party positions will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that he is leaving the Democratic Party or a consensus of credible reporting that he has formally left the Democratic Party.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Announcements from Fetterman that he will join the Republican Party, become an independent, join another political party, or otherwise cease to be a member of the Democratic Party will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Fetterman has formally left the Democratic Party will also suffice.
Statements criticizing the Democratic Party, voting with Republicans, endorsing Republican candidates, describing himself as bipartisan or independent-minded, or expressing disagreement with Democratic Party positions will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that he is leaving the Democratic Party or a consensus of credible reporting that he has formally left the Democratic Party.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
交易量
$3,171结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman officially announces that he is leaving, or formally leaves, the Democratic Party by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Announcements from Fetterman that he will join the Republican Party, become an independent, join another political party, or otherwise cease to be a member of the Democratic Party will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Fetterman has formally left the Democratic Party will also suffice.
Statements criticizing the Democratic Party, voting with Republicans, endorsing Republican candidates, describing himself as bipartisan or independent-minded, or expressing disagreement with Democratic Party positions will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that he is leaving the Democratic Party or a consensus of credible reporting that he has formally left the Democratic Party.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sen. John Fetterman has repeatedly reaffirmed his commitment to the Democratic Party in recent statements, including a May 7 Washington Post op-ed declaring no plans to leave and a late-night interview this week doubling down amid speculation fueled by his independent streak on issues like border security and Israel policy. Despite quiet Republican courtship reported earlier this month and criticism from some Pennsylvania Democrats, Senate leaders like Chuck Schumer have praised him as a valued caucus member, emphasizing party unity ahead of 2028 reelection dynamics. With just six weeks until the June 30 deadline, traders' near-unanimous 95.5% "No" reflects his consistent denials and the high procedural barriers to a mid-term party switch, though unforeseen scandals or health events could still prompt a shift.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman officially announces that he is leaving, or formally leaves, the Democratic Party by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Announcements from Fetterman that he will join the Republican Party, become an independent, join another political party, or otherwise cease to be a member of the Democratic Party will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Fetterman has formally left the Democratic Party will also suffice.
Statements criticizing the Democratic Party, voting with Republicans, endorsing Republican candidates, describing himself as bipartisan or independent-minded, or expressing disagreement with Democratic Party positions will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that he is leaving the Democratic Party or a consensus of credible reporting that he has formally left the Democratic Party.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Announcements from Fetterman that he will join the Republican Party, become an independent, join another political party, or otherwise cease to be a member of the Democratic Party will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Fetterman has formally left the Democratic Party will also suffice.
Statements criticizing the Democratic Party, voting with Republicans, endorsing Republican candidates, describing himself as bipartisan or independent-minded, or expressing disagreement with Democratic Party positions will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that he is leaving the Democratic Party or a consensus of credible reporting that he has formally left the Democratic Party.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,171结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Sen. John Fetterman has repeatedly reaffirmed his commitment to the Democratic Party in recent statements, including a May 7 Washington Post op-ed declaring no plans to leave and a late-night interview this week doubling down amid speculation fueled by his independent streak on issues like border security and Israel policy. Despite quiet Republican courtship reported earlier this month and criticism from some Pennsylvania Democrats, Senate leaders like Chuck Schumer have praised him as a valued caucus member, emphasizing party unity ahead of 2028 reelection dynamics. With just six weeks until the June 30 deadline, traders' near-unanimous 95.5% "No" reflects his consistent denials and the high procedural barriers to a mid-term party switch, though unforeseen scandals or health events could still prompt a shift.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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