The official @khamenei_ir account, which posts archival statements and commemorative content from the late Supreme Leader, maintains low-volume activity outside major religious observances such as Arbaeen. As of early August 2026, following a lull in U.S.-Israel-Iran hostilities and Mojtaba Khamenei’s succession, the account has issued only occasional historical quotes rather than frequent new messages. This pattern, combined with the successor’s limited recent X output on his separate verified account, underpins the 69% implied probability for fewer than five posts during the August 7–14 window. Trader positioning reflects the account’s established cadence of sporadic rather than daily engagement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?
Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?
<5 69%
5-9 25%
10-14 3.9%
25-29 2.9%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
<5
69%
5-9
25%
10-14
4%
15-19
3%
20-24
2%
25-29
3%
30-34
1%
35-39
1%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
<5 69%
5-9 25%
10-14 3.9%
25-29 2.9%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
<5
$2,809 交易量
69%
5-9
$377 交易量
25%
10-14
$229 交易量
4%
15-19
$113 交易量
3%
20-24
$112 交易量
2%
25-29
$122 交易量
3%
30-34
$112 交易量
1%
35-39
$112 交易量
1%
40-44
$112 交易量
1%
45-49
$122 交易量
1%
50-54
$122 交易量
1%
55-59
$180 交易量
<1%
60+
$260 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The official @khamenei_ir account, which posts archival statements and commemorative content from the late Supreme Leader, maintains low-volume activity outside major religious observances such as Arbaeen. As of early August 2026, following a lull in U.S.-Israel-Iran hostilities and Mojtaba Khamenei’s succession, the account has issued only occasional historical quotes rather than frequent new messages. This pattern, combined with the successor’s limited recent X output on his separate verified account, underpins the 69% implied probability for fewer than five posts during the August 7–14 window. Trader positioning reflects the account’s established cadence of sporadic rather than daily engagement.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
交易量
$4,783结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The official @khamenei_ir account, which posts archival statements and commemorative content from the late Supreme Leader, maintains low-volume activity outside major religious observances such as Arbaeen. As of early August 2026, following a lull in U.S.-Israel-Iran hostilities and Mojtaba Khamenei’s succession, the account has issued only occasional historical quotes rather than frequent new messages. This pattern, combined with the successor’s limited recent X output on his separate verified account, underpins the 69% implied probability for fewer than five posts during the August 7–14 window. Trader positioning reflects the account’s established cadence of sporadic rather than daily engagement.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$4,783结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The official @khamenei_ir account, which posts archival statements and commemorative content from the late Supreme Leader, maintains low-volume activity outside major religious observances such as Arbaeen. As of early August 2026, following a lull in U.S.-Israel-Iran hostilities and Mojtaba Khamenei’s succession, the account has issued only occasional historical quotes rather than frequent new messages. This pattern, combined with the successor’s limited recent X output on his separate verified account, underpins the 69% implied probability for fewer than five posts during the August 7–14 window. Trader positioning reflects the account’s established cadence of sporadic rather than daily engagement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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