Elon Musk’s baseline posting cadence on X, typically 12–20 original tweets or replies daily amid routine commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, and cultural topics, anchors the 40–64 bracket as the clear market leader for the August 8–10 window. Recent momentum around the Terafab megastructure reveal and SpaceX updates has sustained engagement without triggering the sustained reply-storm that would push counts into higher brackets, while the short three-day span and weekend timing limit upside volatility. Traders view the 65–89 range as plausible only with fresh breaking developments, and lower buckets remain discounted given his established daily floor. No confirmed major announcements or earnings catalysts are slated to alter the trajectory before the period closes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于40-64 47%
65-89 27%
少于40条 18%
90-114 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
少于40条
18%
40-64
47%
65-89
27%
90-114
6%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 47%
65-89 27%
少于40条 18%
90-114 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
少于40条
$659 交易量
18%
40-64
$163 交易量
47%
65-89
$1,523 交易量
27%
90-114
$1,464 交易量
6%
115-139
$1,115 交易量
1%
140-164
$583 交易量
<1%
165-189
$583 交易量
<1%
190-214
$152 交易量
<1%
215-239
$181 交易量
<1%
240+
$442 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s baseline posting cadence on X, typically 12–20 original tweets or replies daily amid routine commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, and cultural topics, anchors the 40–64 bracket as the clear market leader for the August 8–10 window. Recent momentum around the Terafab megastructure reveal and SpaceX updates has sustained engagement without triggering the sustained reply-storm that would push counts into higher brackets, while the short three-day span and weekend timing limit upside volatility. Traders view the 65–89 range as plausible only with fresh breaking developments, and lower buckets remain discounted given his established daily floor. No confirmed major announcements or earnings catalysts are slated to alter the trajectory before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
交易量
$6,863结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s baseline posting cadence on X, typically 12–20 original tweets or replies daily amid routine commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, and cultural topics, anchors the 40–64 bracket as the clear market leader for the August 8–10 window. Recent momentum around the Terafab megastructure reveal and SpaceX updates has sustained engagement without triggering the sustained reply-storm that would push counts into higher brackets, while the short three-day span and weekend timing limit upside volatility. Traders view the 65–89 range as plausible only with fresh breaking developments, and lower buckets remain discounted given his established daily floor. No confirmed major announcements or earnings catalysts are slated to alter the trajectory before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$6,863结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s baseline posting cadence on X, typically 12–20 original tweets or replies daily amid routine commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, and cultural topics, anchors the 40–64 bracket as the clear market leader for the August 8–10 window. Recent momentum around the Terafab megastructure reveal and SpaceX updates has sustained engagement without triggering the sustained reply-storm that would push counts into higher brackets, while the short three-day span and weekend timing limit upside volatility. Traders view the 65–89 range as plausible only with fresh breaking developments, and lower buckets remain discounted given his established daily floor. No confirmed major announcements or earnings catalysts are slated to alter the trajectory before the period closes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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