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克拉科夫市长选举胜利者

icon for 克拉科夫市长选举胜利者

克拉科夫市长选举胜利者

卢卡什·吉巴瓦 68%

莫妮卡·皮翁特科夫斯卡 14%

Grażyna Zofia Świat 9.7%

达莉娅·戈塞克-波皮奥韦克 6%

Polymarket
最新

卢卡什·吉巴瓦 68%

莫妮卡·皮翁特科夫斯卡 14%

Grażyna Zofia Świat 9.7%

达莉娅·戈塞克-波皮奥韦克 6%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 卢卡什·吉巴瓦

卢卡什·吉巴瓦

$6,039 交易量

68%

icon for 莫妮卡·皮翁特科夫斯卡

莫妮卡·皮翁特科夫斯卡

$142 交易量

14%

icon for Grażyna Zofia Świat

Grażyna Zofia Świat

$247 交易量

10%

icon for 达莉娅·戈塞克-波皮奥韦克

达莉娅·戈塞克-波皮奥韦克

$91 交易量

6%

icon for 拉法乌·科马雷维奇

拉法乌·科马雷维奇

$198 交易量

6%

icon for 米哈乌·德雷夫尼茨基

米哈乌·德雷夫尼茨基

$76 交易量

5%

icon for Łukasz Wantuch

Łukasz Wantuch

$176 交易量

5%

icon for 扬·霍夫曼

扬·霍夫曼

$133 交易量

5%

icon for 斯瓦沃米尔·彼得任克

斯瓦沃米尔·彼得任克

$171 交易量

4%

icon for 拉法乌·索尼克

拉法乌·索尼克

$217 交易量

4%

icon for 马里安·巴纳什

马里安·巴纳什

$367 交易量

3%

icon for 玛丽安娜·施赖伯

玛丽安娜·施赖伯

$234 交易量

3%

icon for 亚历山德拉·奥夫查

亚历山德拉·奥夫查

$174 交易量

9%

icon for 巴托什·博亨恰克

巴托什·博亨恰克

$172 交易量

1%

icon for Paweł Śliz

Paweł Śliz

$171 交易量

1%

icon for 玛尔塔·拉图申斯卡

玛尔塔·拉图申斯卡

$174 交易量

1%

icon for 米哈乌·克利梅克

米哈乌·克利梅克

$160 交易量

1%

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.Łukasz Gibała holds a commanding position in the Kraków mayoral race, scheduled for September 27, 2026, following the successful May 2026 recall referendum that removed incumbent Aleksander Miszalski. As an independent with strong local backing from his near-win in 2024 and established Kraków for Residents committee, Gibała benefits from high name recognition and voter dissatisfaction with the prior Civic Coalition administration. Recent polls confirm his lead in first-round preferences, though a crowded field of candidates including Monika Piątkowska, Marian Banaś, and party-backed contenders like Michał Drewnicki creates potential for runoff dynamics. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and limited recent shifts in the campaign landscape.

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
交易量
$8,941
结束日期
2026-09-27
市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.Łukasz Gibała holds a commanding position in the Kraków mayoral race, scheduled for September 27, 2026, following the successful May 2026 recall referendum that removed incumbent Aleksander Miszalski. As an independent with strong local backing from his near-win in 2024 and established Kraków for Residents committee, Gibała benefits from high name recognition and voter dissatisfaction with the prior Civic Coalition administration. Recent polls confirm his lead in first-round preferences, though a crowded field of candidates including Monika Piątkowska, Marian Banaś, and party-backed contenders like Michał Drewnicki creates potential for runoff dynamics. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and limited recent shifts in the campaign landscape.

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
交易量
$8,941
结束日期
2026-09-27
市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.

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常见问题

"克拉科夫市长选举胜利者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 17 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"卢卡什·吉巴瓦",概率为 68%,其次是"莫妮卡·皮翁特科夫斯卡",概率为 14%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 68¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 68%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"克拉科夫市长选举胜利者"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Aug 6, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"克拉科夫市长选举胜利者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 17 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"克拉科夫市长选举胜利者"的当前领先者是"卢卡什·吉巴瓦",概率为 68%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 68%。紧随其后的结果是"莫妮卡·皮翁特科夫斯卡",概率为 14%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"克拉科夫市长选举胜利者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。