Goldman Sachs holds the strongest trader consensus at 67% implied probability for leading OpenAI’s IPO due to its recent “lead left” role on the SpaceX offering and established work with OpenAI and Morgan Stanley as top bookrunners following the AI firm’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026. Morgan Stanley’s 25% odds reflect its comparable involvement in OpenAI and Anthropic preparations, though it trails in allocation influence and recent execution. Lower-probability banks such as JPMorgan, Citigroup, and Bank of America appear limited to supporting roles amid walled-off team structures to manage conflicts. Potential delays into 2027 and shifting valuation targets around $1 trillion introduce ongoing uncertainty, with resolution hinging on final prospectus designation and market conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Goldman Sachs 68%
Morgan Stanley 25%
Bank of America 1.0%
UBS <1%
$46,298 交易量
$46,298 交易量
2027-12-30
Goldman Sachs
68%
Morgan Stanley
25%
Bank of America
1%
UBS
<1%
Wells Fargo
<1%
Citigroup
<1%
Barclays
<1%
JPMorgan
<1%
Deutsche Bank
<1%
Goldman Sachs 68%
Morgan Stanley 25%
Bank of America 1.0%
UBS <1%
$46,298 交易量
$46,298 交易量
2027-12-30
Goldman Sachs
$10,200 交易量
68%
Morgan Stanley
$8,254 交易量
25%
Bank of America
$2,386 交易量
1%
UBS
$3,447 交易量
<1%
Wells Fargo
$3,138 交易量
<1%
Citigroup
$2,552 交易量
<1%
Barclays
$3,502 交易量
<1%
JPMorgan
$3,832 交易量
<1%
Deutsche Bank
$8,987 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds the strongest trader consensus at 67% implied probability for leading OpenAI’s IPO due to its recent “lead left” role on the SpaceX offering and established work with OpenAI and Morgan Stanley as top bookrunners following the AI firm’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026. Morgan Stanley’s 25% odds reflect its comparable involvement in OpenAI and Anthropic preparations, though it trails in allocation influence and recent execution. Lower-probability banks such as JPMorgan, Citigroup, and Bank of America appear limited to supporting roles amid walled-off team structures to manage conflicts. Potential delays into 2027 and shifting valuation targets around $1 trillion introduce ongoing uncertainty, with resolution hinging on final prospectus designation and market conditions.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ET
交易量
$46,298结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds the strongest trader consensus at 67% implied probability for leading OpenAI’s IPO due to its recent “lead left” role on the SpaceX offering and established work with OpenAI and Morgan Stanley as top bookrunners following the AI firm’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026. Morgan Stanley’s 25% odds reflect its comparable involvement in OpenAI and Anthropic preparations, though it trails in allocation influence and recent execution. Lower-probability banks such as JPMorgan, Citigroup, and Bank of America appear limited to supporting roles amid walled-off team structures to manage conflicts. Potential delays into 2027 and shifting valuation targets around $1 trillion introduce ongoing uncertainty, with resolution hinging on final prospectus designation and market conditions.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$46,298结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ETGoldman Sachs holds the strongest trader consensus at 67% implied probability for leading OpenAI’s IPO due to its recent “lead left” role on the SpaceX offering and established work with OpenAI and Morgan Stanley as top bookrunners following the AI firm’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026. Morgan Stanley’s 25% odds reflect its comparable involvement in OpenAI and Anthropic preparations, though it trails in allocation influence and recent execution. Lower-probability banks such as JPMorgan, Citigroup, and Bank of America appear limited to supporting roles amid walled-off team structures to manage conflicts. Potential delays into 2027 and shifting valuation targets around $1 trillion introduce ongoing uncertainty, with resolution hinging on final prospectus designation and market conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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