Current forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a warm air mass over northern France sustaining overnight lows in Paris near 20–22°C on August 4, above the early-August climatological average of 15–16°C. High-pressure dominance limits significant cooling, with radiative heat loss under partly clear skies balanced against possible increased cloud cover or warm advection that could hold minima closer to 21–22°C. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched probabilities for the 20°C-or-below, 21°C, and 22°C bins, tracks these model spreads and recent runs showing limited nocturnal drops amid above-normal warmth. Key upcoming updates from official guidance will clarify steering patterns and cloud trends before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月4日巴黎最低气温？
8月4日巴黎最低气温？
20°C或以下 41%
22°C 27%
21°C 26%
23°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
20°C或以下
41%
21°C
26%
22°C
27%
23°C
13%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30℃或更高
<1%
20°C或以下 41%
22°C 27%
21°C 26%
23°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
20°C或以下
$94 交易量
41%
21°C
$54 交易量
26%
22°C
$40 交易量
27%
23°C
$175 交易量
13%
24°C
$32 交易量
1%
25°C
$36 交易量
2%
26°C
$43 交易量
1%
27°C
$39 交易量
<1%
28°C
$49 交易量
<1%
29°C
$49 交易量
<1%
30℃或更高
$27 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a warm air mass over northern France sustaining overnight lows in Paris near 20–22°C on August 4, above the early-August climatological average of 15–16°C. High-pressure dominance limits significant cooling, with radiative heat loss under partly clear skies balanced against possible increased cloud cover or warm advection that could hold minima closer to 21–22°C. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched probabilities for the 20°C-or-below, 21°C, and 22°C bins, tracks these model spreads and recent runs showing limited nocturnal drops amid above-normal warmth. Key upcoming updates from official guidance will clarify steering patterns and cloud trends before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$638结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a warm air mass over northern France sustaining overnight lows in Paris near 20–22°C on August 4, above the early-August climatological average of 15–16°C. High-pressure dominance limits significant cooling, with radiative heat loss under partly clear skies balanced against possible increased cloud cover or warm advection that could hold minima closer to 21–22°C. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched probabilities for the 20°C-or-below, 21°C, and 22°C bins, tracks these model spreads and recent runs showing limited nocturnal drops amid above-normal warmth. Key upcoming updates from official guidance will clarify steering patterns and cloud trends before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$638结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a warm air mass over northern France sustaining overnight lows in Paris near 20–22°C on August 4, above the early-August climatological average of 15–16°C. High-pressure dominance limits significant cooling, with radiative heat loss under partly clear skies balanced against possible increased cloud cover or warm advection that could hold minima closer to 21–22°C. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched probabilities for the 20°C-or-below, 21°C, and 22°C bins, tracks these model spreads and recent runs showing limited nocturnal drops amid above-normal warmth. Key upcoming updates from official guidance will clarify steering patterns and cloud trends before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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