High-pressure dominance across western Europe is sustaining above-average warmth into early August, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and keeping Paris overnight lows in the upper teens Celsius. Ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF show tight clustering around 19–21 °C for the August 3 minimum, with differences driven by subtle variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island retention. A modest increase in low-level moisture or a brief wind shift could shave 1–2 °C off the low, while clearer skies would favor the higher end; updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will narrow this spread ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月3日巴黎最低气温?
20°C 31%
19°C 28%
17°C或以下 24%
21°C 20%
17°C或以下
24%
18°C
14%
19°C
28%
20°C
31%
21°C
20%
22°C
13%
23°C
9%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C或更高
1%
20°C 31%
19°C 28%
17°C或以下 24%
21°C 20%
17°C或以下
24%
18°C
14%
19°C
28%
20°C
31%
21°C
20%
22°C
13%
23°C
9%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
High-pressure dominance across western Europe is sustaining above-average warmth into early August, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and keeping Paris overnight lows in the upper teens Celsius. Ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF show tight clustering around 19–21 °C for the August 3 minimum, with differences driven by subtle variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island retention. A modest increase in low-level moisture or a brief wind shift could shave 1–2 °C off the low, while clearer skies would favor the higher end; updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will narrow this spread ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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