Current forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate typical midsummer conditions for Seoul-Incheon, with overnight lows most likely settling near 26°C on August 3 due to persistent high humidity, weak nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, and warm advection from the south. Ensemble spreads of 1–2°C support the market’s leading 44.5% implied probability on 26°C, followed by 27°C at 23.5%, reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day showers. Historical August minima average 23–24°C, yet recent model runs show limited cooling potential through the period, keeping sub-25°C outcomes below 10% combined. Updated short-range guidance and KMA morning low observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月3日首尔（仁川）气温最低？
8月3日首尔（仁川）气温最低？
26°C 45%
27°C 24%
25°C 23%
29°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
22°C或以下
3%
23°C
3%
24°C
5%
25°C
23%
26°C
45%
27°C
24%
28°C
10%
29°C
12%
30°C
5%
31°C
<1%
32°C或更高
<1%
26°C 45%
27°C 24%
25°C 23%
29°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
22°C或以下
$139 交易量
3%
23°C
$33 交易量
3%
24°C
$72 交易量
5%
25°C
$23 交易量
23%
26°C
$413 交易量
45%
27°C
$45 交易量
24%
28°C
$33 交易量
10%
29°C
$285 交易量
12%
30°C
$32 交易量
5%
31°C
$42 交易量
<1%
32°C或更高
$129 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate typical midsummer conditions for Seoul-Incheon, with overnight lows most likely settling near 26°C on August 3 due to persistent high humidity, weak nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, and warm advection from the south. Ensemble spreads of 1–2°C support the market’s leading 44.5% implied probability on 26°C, followed by 27°C at 23.5%, reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day showers. Historical August minima average 23–24°C, yet recent model runs show limited cooling potential through the period, keeping sub-25°C outcomes below 10% combined. Updated short-range guidance and KMA morning low observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,247结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate typical midsummer conditions for Seoul-Incheon, with overnight lows most likely settling near 26°C on August 3 due to persistent high humidity, weak nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, and warm advection from the south. Ensemble spreads of 1–2°C support the market’s leading 44.5% implied probability on 26°C, followed by 27°C at 23.5%, reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day showers. Historical August minima average 23–24°C, yet recent model runs show limited cooling potential through the period, keeping sub-25°C outcomes below 10% combined. Updated short-range guidance and KMA morning low observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,247结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate typical midsummer conditions for Seoul-Incheon, with overnight lows most likely settling near 26°C on August 3 due to persistent high humidity, weak nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, and warm advection from the south. Ensemble spreads of 1–2°C support the market’s leading 44.5% implied probability on 26°C, followed by 27°C at 23.5%, reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day showers. Historical August minima average 23–24°C, yet recent model runs show limited cooling potential through the period, keeping sub-25°C outcomes below 10% combined. Updated short-range guidance and KMA morning low observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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