Recent forecast consensus from regional models points to persistent cloud cover, moderate rain, and thunderstorms across the Pearl River Delta limiting daytime solar heating in Guangzhou ahead of August 3. These conditions, driven by the East Asian monsoon pattern and localized convective activity, typically cap maximum temperatures near 29–31°C rather than allowing full seasonal peaks above 32°C. Historical August baselines average 32°C highs, yet current moisture and reduced insolation favor the closely matched market probabilities around 30–31°C. Updated observational data and next model runs from the Guangzhou Meteorological Observatory will refine exact resolution thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月3日广州气温最高？
8月3日广州气温最高？
31°C 29%
30°C 27%
29°C 17%
32°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
17%
30°C
27%
31°C
29%
32°C
11%
33°C
5%
34°C或以上
2%
31°C 29%
30°C 27%
29°C 17%
32°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
24°C或以下
$423 交易量
<1%
25°C
$43 交易量
<1%
26°C
$29 交易量
2%
27°C
$41 交易量
3%
28°C
$15 交易量
6%
29°C
$52 交易量
17%
30°C
$52 交易量
27%
31°C
$87 交易量
29%
32°C
$135 交易量
11%
33°C
$103 交易量
5%
34°C或以上
$309 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from regional models points to persistent cloud cover, moderate rain, and thunderstorms across the Pearl River Delta limiting daytime solar heating in Guangzhou ahead of August 3. These conditions, driven by the East Asian monsoon pattern and localized convective activity, typically cap maximum temperatures near 29–31°C rather than allowing full seasonal peaks above 32°C. Historical August baselines average 32°C highs, yet current moisture and reduced insolation favor the closely matched market probabilities around 30–31°C. Updated observational data and next model runs from the Guangzhou Meteorological Observatory will refine exact resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$1,289结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from regional models points to persistent cloud cover, moderate rain, and thunderstorms across the Pearl River Delta limiting daytime solar heating in Guangzhou ahead of August 3. These conditions, driven by the East Asian monsoon pattern and localized convective activity, typically cap maximum temperatures near 29–31°C rather than allowing full seasonal peaks above 32°C. Historical August baselines average 32°C highs, yet current moisture and reduced insolation favor the closely matched market probabilities around 30–31°C. Updated observational data and next model runs from the Guangzhou Meteorological Observatory will refine exact resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,289结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent forecast consensus from regional models points to persistent cloud cover, moderate rain, and thunderstorms across the Pearl River Delta limiting daytime solar heating in Guangzhou ahead of August 3. These conditions, driven by the East Asian monsoon pattern and localized convective activity, typically cap maximum temperatures near 29–31°C rather than allowing full seasonal peaks above 32°C. Historical August baselines average 32°C highs, yet current moisture and reduced insolation favor the closely matched market probabilities around 30–31°C. Updated observational data and next model runs from the Guangzhou Meteorological Observatory will refine exact resolution thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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