Recent forecasts for Cape Town indicate fine, cool conditions with light to moderate southerly winds over the next several days, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 21–23°C for the August 3 daily maximum. These temperatures sit modestly above long-term August averages near 17–18°C, reflecting typical late-winter variability driven by the interaction of Atlantic air masses, potential cold-front passages, and localized orographic effects from Table Mountain. Short-range model guidance shows limited spread, yet small shifts in cloud cover, wind strength, or timing of any frontal passage could alter the peak by 1–2°C, sustaining the tight probability distribution among the leading outcomes. Official updates from regional meteorological services in the coming 48 hours will provide the next key data points for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月3日开普敦气温最高?
21°C 26%
22°C 25%
23°C 24%
20°C 10%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
10%
21°C
26%
22°C
25%
23°C
24%
24°C
8%
25°C
5%
26°C or higher
1%
21°C 26%
22°C 25%
23°C 24%
20°C 10%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
10%
21°C
26%
22°C
25%
23°C
24%
24°C
8%
25°C
5%
26°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 1, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Cape Town indicate fine, cool conditions with light to moderate southerly winds over the next several days, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 21–23°C for the August 3 daily maximum. These temperatures sit modestly above long-term August averages near 17–18°C, reflecting typical late-winter variability driven by the interaction of Atlantic air masses, potential cold-front passages, and localized orographic effects from Table Mountain. Short-range model guidance shows limited spread, yet small shifts in cloud cover, wind strength, or timing of any frontal passage could alter the peak by 1–2°C, sustaining the tight probability distribution among the leading outcomes. Official updates from regional meteorological services in the coming 48 hours will provide the next key data points for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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