Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, fueled by the combined influence of the North Pacific High and Tibetan High pressure systems, form the core driver of trader positioning around 35–36°C for Busan’s August 3 maximum. These systems promote subsidence, clear skies, and southerly advection of warm, humid air from the North Pacific, where elevated sea-surface temperatures enhance moisture and heat transport. Recent records near 38.8°C in late July illustrate the pattern’s intensity, yet subtle differences in model guidance on cloud cover, wind speed, and exact high positioning create the tight spread between 35°C and 36°C outcomes. Short-term Korea Meteorological Administration updates and ensemble runs will refine these variables ahead of the date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月3日釜山气温最高?
36°C 33%
35℃ 29%
37°C 18%
34°C 12%
32°C或以下
2%
33°C
4%
34°C
12%
35℃
29%
36°C
33%
37°C
18%
38°C
9%
39°C
2%
40°C
4%
41°C
<1%
42°C或更高
<1%
36°C 33%
35℃ 29%
37°C 18%
34°C 12%
32°C或以下
2%
33°C
4%
34°C
12%
35℃
29%
36°C
33%
37°C
18%
38°C
9%
39°C
2%
40°C
4%
41°C
<1%
42°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, fueled by the combined influence of the North Pacific High and Tibetan High pressure systems, form the core driver of trader positioning around 35–36°C for Busan’s August 3 maximum. These systems promote subsidence, clear skies, and southerly advection of warm, humid air from the North Pacific, where elevated sea-surface temperatures enhance moisture and heat transport. Recent records near 38.8°C in late July illustrate the pattern’s intensity, yet subtle differences in model guidance on cloud cover, wind speed, and exact high positioning create the tight spread between 35°C and 36°C outcomes. Short-term Korea Meteorological Administration updates and ensemble runs will refine these variables ahead of the date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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