Recent KMA and global model guidance points to daytime maxima in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 3 amid typical late-summer humidity near 70% and light winds. Leading probabilities for 33°C and 34°C reflect ensemble spread in short-range forecasts, where modest differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and weak synoptic forcing can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Marine moderation from the nearby Yellow Sea and urban heat-island effects add local variability, while the absence of strong high-pressure ridging keeps intensification potential limited. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will narrow resolution thresholds tied to official thermometer observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月3日首尔（仁川）气温最高？
8月3日首尔（仁川）气温最高？
33°C 33%
34°C 31%
32°C 18%
35°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
6%
32°C
18%
33°C
33%
34°C
31%
35°C
13%
36°C or higher
5%
33°C 33%
34°C 31%
32°C 18%
35°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
26°C or below
$548 交易量
<1%
27°C
$507 交易量
<1%
28°C
$223 交易量
1%
29°C
$249 交易量
2%
30°C
$61 交易量
3%
31°C
$18 交易量
6%
32°C
$79 交易量
18%
33°C
$134 交易量
33%
34°C
$109 交易量
31%
35°C
$24 交易量
13%
36°C or higher
$161 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA and global model guidance points to daytime maxima in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 3 amid typical late-summer humidity near 70% and light winds. Leading probabilities for 33°C and 34°C reflect ensemble spread in short-range forecasts, where modest differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and weak synoptic forcing can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Marine moderation from the nearby Yellow Sea and urban heat-island effects add local variability, while the absence of strong high-pressure ridging keeps intensification potential limited. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will narrow resolution thresholds tied to official thermometer observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$2,111结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA and global model guidance points to daytime maxima in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 3 amid typical late-summer humidity near 70% and light winds. Leading probabilities for 33°C and 34°C reflect ensemble spread in short-range forecasts, where modest differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and weak synoptic forcing can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Marine moderation from the nearby Yellow Sea and urban heat-island effects add local variability, while the absence of strong high-pressure ridging keeps intensification potential limited. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will narrow resolution thresholds tied to official thermometer observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,111结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent KMA and global model guidance points to daytime maxima in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 3 amid typical late-summer humidity near 70% and light winds. Leading probabilities for 33°C and 34°C reflect ensemble spread in short-range forecasts, where modest differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and weak synoptic forcing can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Marine moderation from the nearby Yellow Sea and urban heat-island effects add local variability, while the absence of strong high-pressure ridging keeps intensification potential limited. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will narrow resolution thresholds tied to official thermometer observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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