Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models position Amsterdam's August 3 maximum near 31–32 °C under a building high-pressure ridge with southerly flow advecting warmer continental air and mostly clear skies promoting strong daytime insolation. Coastal sea-breeze effects and modest cloud development introduce slight cooling potential, keeping probabilities tightly clustered between 31 °C and 33 °C while limiting odds of extremes above 34 °C. Traders weigh these outputs against KNMI guidance and historical early-August baselines around 22–24 °C, with resolution hinging on the final observed reading at Amsterdam Airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月3日阿姆斯特丹气温最高?
32°C 38%
31°C 30%
33°C 16%
30°C 10%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
10%
31°C
30%
32°C
38%
33°C
16%
34°C
6%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C或更高
<1%
32°C 38%
31°C 30%
33°C 16%
30°C 10%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
10%
31°C
30%
32°C
38%
33°C
16%
34°C
6%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models position Amsterdam's August 3 maximum near 31–32 °C under a building high-pressure ridge with southerly flow advecting warmer continental air and mostly clear skies promoting strong daytime insolation. Coastal sea-breeze effects and modest cloud development introduce slight cooling potential, keeping probabilities tightly clustered between 31 °C and 33 °C while limiting odds of extremes above 34 °C. Traders weigh these outputs against KNMI guidance and historical early-August baselines around 22–24 °C, with resolution hinging on the final observed reading at Amsterdam Airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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