Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and timeanddate project a high of 34–35 °C in Munich on August 3 under sunny skies and light winds within a broader warm spell. This outlook, supported by high-pressure subsidence and southerly flow, drives the market’s close split between 35 °C (36 %) and 34 °C (27.5 %). Ensemble spreads in models such as ECMWF and ICON introduce modest uncertainty around peak timing and local urban heating effects, while historical August maxima near 30 °C underscore the elevated but plausible range. Updated short-range runs and official DWD guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the official station measurement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月3日慕尼黑气温最高?
35°C 37%
34°C 28%
36°C 19%
33°C 9%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
9%
34°C
28%
35°C
37%
36°C
19%
37°C or higher
6%
35°C 37%
34°C 28%
36°C 19%
33°C 9%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
9%
34°C
28%
35°C
37%
36°C
19%
37°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and timeanddate project a high of 34–35 °C in Munich on August 3 under sunny skies and light winds within a broader warm spell. This outlook, supported by high-pressure subsidence and southerly flow, drives the market’s close split between 35 °C (36 %) and 34 °C (27.5 %). Ensemble spreads in models such as ECMWF and ICON introduce modest uncertainty around peak timing and local urban heating effects, while historical August maxima near 30 °C underscore the elevated but plausible range. Updated short-range runs and official DWD guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the official station measurement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题