Latest short-range ensemble guidance from Environment Canada and NOAA places Toronto’s August 2 maximum near 23–24 °C, with the 22–25 °C outcomes commanding roughly 97 % combined market-implied probability. Daytime heating will be modulated by a weakening warm-sector flow, modest mid-level moisture, and possible afternoon cloud build-up that limits insolation. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing depth and the exact timing of any passing weak trough explain the narrow spread among the leading bins. Historical early-August analogs under comparable steering patterns rarely exceed 26 °C without strong subsidence, accounting for the steep probability drop-off above that threshold. Traders are closely monitoring the next 12–24 h model updates and surface observations that will set the official high before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月2日多伦多气温最高？
8月2日多伦多气温最高？
24°C 33%
23°C 27%
22°C 23%
25°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
20°C or below
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
23%
23°C
27%
24°C
33%
25°C
17%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 33%
23°C 27%
22°C 23%
25°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
20°C or below
$286 交易量
1%
21°C
$427 交易量
3%
22°C
$4,262 交易量
23%
23°C
$478 交易量
27%
24°C
$1,107 交易量
33%
25°C
$831 交易量
17%
26°C
$292 交易量
2%
27°C
$246 交易量
<1%
28°C
$191 交易量
<1%
29°C
$289 交易量
<1%
30°C or higher
$287 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range ensemble guidance from Environment Canada and NOAA places Toronto’s August 2 maximum near 23–24 °C, with the 22–25 °C outcomes commanding roughly 97 % combined market-implied probability. Daytime heating will be modulated by a weakening warm-sector flow, modest mid-level moisture, and possible afternoon cloud build-up that limits insolation. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing depth and the exact timing of any passing weak trough explain the narrow spread among the leading bins. Historical early-August analogs under comparable steering patterns rarely exceed 26 °C without strong subsidence, accounting for the steep probability drop-off above that threshold. Traders are closely monitoring the next 12–24 h model updates and surface observations that will set the official high before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$8,696结束日期
2026-08-02市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range ensemble guidance from Environment Canada and NOAA places Toronto’s August 2 maximum near 23–24 °C, with the 22–25 °C outcomes commanding roughly 97 % combined market-implied probability. Daytime heating will be modulated by a weakening warm-sector flow, modest mid-level moisture, and possible afternoon cloud build-up that limits insolation. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing depth and the exact timing of any passing weak trough explain the narrow spread among the leading bins. Historical early-August analogs under comparable steering patterns rarely exceed 26 °C without strong subsidence, accounting for the steep probability drop-off above that threshold. Traders are closely monitoring the next 12–24 h model updates and surface observations that will set the official high before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,696结束日期
2026-08-02市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETLatest short-range ensemble guidance from Environment Canada and NOAA places Toronto’s August 2 maximum near 23–24 °C, with the 22–25 °C outcomes commanding roughly 97 % combined market-implied probability. Daytime heating will be modulated by a weakening warm-sector flow, modest mid-level moisture, and possible afternoon cloud build-up that limits insolation. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing depth and the exact timing of any passing weak trough explain the narrow spread among the leading bins. Historical early-August analogs under comparable steering patterns rarely exceed 26 °C without strong subsidence, accounting for the steep probability drop-off above that threshold. Traders are closely monitoring the next 12–24 h model updates and surface observations that will set the official high before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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