Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami indicate a high near 91°F on August 2 amid partly to mostly sunny conditions and a 30-40% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. This consensus, aligned with typical early-August climatology featuring average highs of 89-91°F, supports the near-even market split between 90-91°F and 92-93°F bins. Key differentiating factors include sea-breeze timing, boundary-layer moisture, and convective initiation that can cap peak temperatures by 1-3°F through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Model runs show limited spread given the short forecast horizon and stable subtropical ridge, though any earlier or stronger storms could favor the lower bin while drier conditions would support the upper. Updated NWS guidance ahead of peak heating remains the primary near-term catalyst.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月2日迈阿密气温最高？
8月2日迈阿密气温最高？
90-91°F 43%
92-93°F 43%
88-89°F 10%
94-95°F 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
83°F或更低
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
10%
90-91°F
43%
92-93°F
43%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
1%
102°F或更高
<1%
90-91°F 43%
92-93°F 43%
88-89°F 10%
94-95°F 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
83°F或更低
$174 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$196 交易量
1%
86-87°F
$139 交易量
2%
88-89°F
$468 交易量
10%
90-91°F
$443 交易量
43%
92-93°F
$455 交易量
43%
94-95°F
$935 交易量
5%
96-97°F
$153 交易量
2%
98-99°F
$139 交易量
1%
100-101°F
$173 交易量
1%
102°F或更高
$176 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami indicate a high near 91°F on August 2 amid partly to mostly sunny conditions and a 30-40% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. This consensus, aligned with typical early-August climatology featuring average highs of 89-91°F, supports the near-even market split between 90-91°F and 92-93°F bins. Key differentiating factors include sea-breeze timing, boundary-layer moisture, and convective initiation that can cap peak temperatures by 1-3°F through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Model runs show limited spread given the short forecast horizon and stable subtropical ridge, though any earlier or stronger storms could favor the lower bin while drier conditions would support the upper. Updated NWS guidance ahead of peak heating remains the primary near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$3,452结束日期
2026-08-02市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami indicate a high near 91°F on August 2 amid partly to mostly sunny conditions and a 30-40% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. This consensus, aligned with typical early-August climatology featuring average highs of 89-91°F, supports the near-even market split between 90-91°F and 92-93°F bins. Key differentiating factors include sea-breeze timing, boundary-layer moisture, and convective initiation that can cap peak temperatures by 1-3°F through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Model runs show limited spread given the short forecast horizon and stable subtropical ridge, though any earlier or stronger storms could favor the lower bin while drier conditions would support the upper. Updated NWS guidance ahead of peak heating remains the primary near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,452结束日期
2026-08-02市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami indicate a high near 91°F on August 2 amid partly to mostly sunny conditions and a 30-40% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. This consensus, aligned with typical early-August climatology featuring average highs of 89-91°F, supports the near-even market split between 90-91°F and 92-93°F bins. Key differentiating factors include sea-breeze timing, boundary-layer moisture, and convective initiation that can cap peak temperatures by 1-3°F through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Model runs show limited spread given the short forecast horizon and stable subtropical ridge, though any earlier or stronger storms could favor the lower bin while drier conditions would support the upper. Updated NWS guidance ahead of peak heating remains the primary near-term catalyst.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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