Warmer-than-normal seasonal conditions across Saudi Arabia through October, per the National Center for Meteorology outlook, form the main driver behind elevated trader expectations for Jeddah’s August 3 high. August climatology shows average daily maxima near 38–40°C, with coastal Red Sea influences and high solar insolation sustaining heat; the NCM projects 1–2°C above baseline, raising the chance of readings at or above 41°C. Recent model guidance and historical August peaks reinforce this, though short-term variability in wind patterns or localized sea breezes could moderate extremes. Market-implied odds, led by the 41°C+ outcome at 49%, reflect traders’ assessment of these factors two days ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月3日吉达的最高温度?
41°C或更高 49%
40°C 25%
39°C 12%
38°C 6%
31°C或以下
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
2%
38°C
6%
39°C
12%
40°C
25%
41°C或更高
49%
41°C或更高 49%
40°C 25%
39°C 12%
38°C 6%
31°C或以下
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
2%
38°C
6%
39°C
12%
40°C
25%
41°C或更高
49%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Warmer-than-normal seasonal conditions across Saudi Arabia through October, per the National Center for Meteorology outlook, form the main driver behind elevated trader expectations for Jeddah’s August 3 high. August climatology shows average daily maxima near 38–40°C, with coastal Red Sea influences and high solar insolation sustaining heat; the NCM projects 1–2°C above baseline, raising the chance of readings at or above 41°C. Recent model guidance and historical August peaks reinforce this, though short-term variability in wind patterns or localized sea breezes could moderate extremes. Market-implied odds, led by the 41°C+ outcome at 49%, reflect traders’ assessment of these factors two days ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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