Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila point to a daily maximum near 30–33°C on August 3 amid the southwest monsoon, with 60% rain chances and widespread cloud cover expected to limit solar heating. High humidity and scattered thunderstorms further suppress peak temperatures by reducing insolation and promoting evaporative cooling, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 28–30°C. Model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability driven by the timing and intensity of convective activity, while historical August averages near 31°C provide a baseline. Updated model runs and morning briefings on August 2 will likely refine the precise threshold traders favor.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月3日马尼拉的最高温度？
8月3日马尼拉的最高温度？
29°C 32%
28°C 25%
30°C 23%
31°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
24°C或以下
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
7%
28°C
25%
29°C
32%
30°C
23%
31°C
9%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C或更高
2%
29°C 32%
28°C 25%
30°C 23%
31°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
24°C或以下
$286 交易量
1%
25°C
$302 交易量
1%
26°C
$170 交易量
2%
27°C
$92 交易量
7%
28°C
$137 交易量
25%
29°C
$0 交易量
32%
30°C
$13 交易量
23%
31°C
$40 交易量
9%
32°C
$91 交易量
2%
33°C
$74 交易量
1%
34°C或更高
$21 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila point to a daily maximum near 30–33°C on August 3 amid the southwest monsoon, with 60% rain chances and widespread cloud cover expected to limit solar heating. High humidity and scattered thunderstorms further suppress peak temperatures by reducing insolation and promoting evaporative cooling, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 28–30°C. Model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability driven by the timing and intensity of convective activity, while historical August averages near 31°C provide a baseline. Updated model runs and morning briefings on August 2 will likely refine the precise threshold traders favor.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$1,226结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila point to a daily maximum near 30–33°C on August 3 amid the southwest monsoon, with 60% rain chances and widespread cloud cover expected to limit solar heating. High humidity and scattered thunderstorms further suppress peak temperatures by reducing insolation and promoting evaporative cooling, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 28–30°C. Model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability driven by the timing and intensity of convective activity, while historical August averages near 31°C provide a baseline. Updated model runs and morning briefings on August 2 will likely refine the precise threshold traders favor.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,226结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila point to a daily maximum near 30–33°C on August 3 amid the southwest monsoon, with 60% rain chances and widespread cloud cover expected to limit solar heating. High humidity and scattered thunderstorms further suppress peak temperatures by reducing insolation and promoting evaporative cooling, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 28–30°C. Model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability driven by the timing and intensity of convective activity, while historical August averages near 31°C provide a baseline. Updated model runs and morning briefings on August 2 will likely refine the precise threshold traders favor.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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