Latest Met Office guidance points to a 31°C maximum in London on August 3 under building high pressure that advects warm, humid air from the south, supporting the near-even market split between 30°C and 31°C. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread from diurnal heating rates and possible scattered afternoon cloud or showers, which could trim the peak by 1–2°C or allow brief exceedance depending on boundary-layer mixing. Historical August climatology (average high near 22°C) underscores the anomalous warmth, yet short-range model consensus remains the dominant driver of trader positioning ahead of final observational data from official stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月3日伦敦气温最高？
8月3日伦敦气温最高？
30°C 36%
31°C 32%
29°C 16%
32°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
16%
30°C
36%
31°C
32%
32°C
14%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 36%
31°C 32%
29°C 16%
32°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
25°C or below
$108 交易量
<1%
26°C
$293 交易量
1%
27°C
$441 交易量
1%
28°C
$219 交易量
6%
29°C
$309 交易量
16%
30°C
$608 交易量
36%
31°C
$364 交易量
32%
32°C
$65 交易量
14%
33°C
$2,182 交易量
4%
34°C
$50 交易量
2%
35°C or higher
$233 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance points to a 31°C maximum in London on August 3 under building high pressure that advects warm, humid air from the south, supporting the near-even market split between 30°C and 31°C. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread from diurnal heating rates and possible scattered afternoon cloud or showers, which could trim the peak by 1–2°C or allow brief exceedance depending on boundary-layer mixing. Historical August climatology (average high near 22°C) underscores the anomalous warmth, yet short-range model consensus remains the dominant driver of trader positioning ahead of final observational data from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$4,873结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance points to a 31°C maximum in London on August 3 under building high pressure that advects warm, humid air from the south, supporting the near-even market split between 30°C and 31°C. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread from diurnal heating rates and possible scattered afternoon cloud or showers, which could trim the peak by 1–2°C or allow brief exceedance depending on boundary-layer mixing. Historical August climatology (average high near 22°C) underscores the anomalous warmth, yet short-range model consensus remains the dominant driver of trader positioning ahead of final observational data from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,873结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETLatest Met Office guidance points to a 31°C maximum in London on August 3 under building high pressure that advects warm, humid air from the south, supporting the near-even market split between 30°C and 31°C. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread from diurnal heating rates and possible scattered afternoon cloud or showers, which could trim the peak by 1–2°C or allow brief exceedance depending on boundary-layer mixing. Historical August climatology (average high near 22°C) underscores the anomalous warmth, yet short-range model consensus remains the dominant driver of trader positioning ahead of final observational data from official stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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