Current forecasts from Météo-France and other agencies place Paris's maximum temperature for August 3 near 33–34 °C under continued hot, sunny conditions driven by southerly flow and a persistent heat dome. This setup, part of France’s fourth heatwave of the summer, favors strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover and light easterly winds. Trader consensus, reflected in the market’s clustering around 35 °C (44 %) and 36 °C (26.5 %), incorporates the likelihood of modest upward revisions in final model runs, urban heat-island effects at official observation sites, and historical analogs where ensemble spreads have shifted maxima 1–2 °C higher closer to the event. With resolution based on verified station readings, any late intensification or slight steering changes could quickly adjust probabilities among the narrow 34–36 °C band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月3日巴黎气温最高？
8月3日巴黎气温最高？
35°C 45%
36°C 27%
34°C 22%
37°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
32°C or below
2%
33°C
4%
34°C
22%
35°C
45%
36°C
27%
37°C
6%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
35°C 45%
36°C 27%
34°C 22%
37°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
32°C or below
$152 交易量
2%
33°C
$13 交易量
4%
34°C
$294 交易量
22%
35°C
$184 交易量
45%
36°C
$10 交易量
27%
37°C
$138 交易量
6%
38°C
$341 交易量
2%
39°C
$65 交易量
1%
40°C
$58 交易量
1%
41°C
$84 交易量
<1%
42°C or higher
$499 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Météo-France and other agencies place Paris's maximum temperature for August 3 near 33–34 °C under continued hot, sunny conditions driven by southerly flow and a persistent heat dome. This setup, part of France’s fourth heatwave of the summer, favors strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover and light easterly winds. Trader consensus, reflected in the market’s clustering around 35 °C (44 %) and 36 °C (26.5 %), incorporates the likelihood of modest upward revisions in final model runs, urban heat-island effects at official observation sites, and historical analogs where ensemble spreads have shifted maxima 1–2 °C higher closer to the event. With resolution based on verified station readings, any late intensification or slight steering changes could quickly adjust probabilities among the narrow 34–36 °C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$1,839结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Météo-France and other agencies place Paris's maximum temperature for August 3 near 33–34 °C under continued hot, sunny conditions driven by southerly flow and a persistent heat dome. This setup, part of France’s fourth heatwave of the summer, favors strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover and light easterly winds. Trader consensus, reflected in the market’s clustering around 35 °C (44 %) and 36 °C (26.5 %), incorporates the likelihood of modest upward revisions in final model runs, urban heat-island effects at official observation sites, and historical analogs where ensemble spreads have shifted maxima 1–2 °C higher closer to the event. With resolution based on verified station readings, any late intensification or slight steering changes could quickly adjust probabilities among the narrow 34–36 °C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,839结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETCurrent forecasts from Météo-France and other agencies place Paris's maximum temperature for August 3 near 33–34 °C under continued hot, sunny conditions driven by southerly flow and a persistent heat dome. This setup, part of France’s fourth heatwave of the summer, favors strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover and light easterly winds. Trader consensus, reflected in the market’s clustering around 35 °C (44 %) and 36 °C (26.5 %), incorporates the likelihood of modest upward revisions in final model runs, urban heat-island effects at official observation sites, and historical analogs where ensemble spreads have shifted maxima 1–2 °C higher closer to the event. With resolution based on verified station readings, any late intensification or slight steering changes could quickly adjust probabilities among the narrow 34–36 °C band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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