Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a likely daily maximum near 32°C in Paris on August 4, driven by continued warm advection from the south under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on variables such as afternoon cloud development, boundary-layer mixing depth, and minor shifts in the 500 hPa ridge position, which can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. With probabilities clustered tightly between 31°C and 33°C, traders are pricing in genuine forecast uncertainty typical of medium-range guidance, where small changes in insolation or local wind patterns can tip the observed high. Updated model runs and Météo-France bulletins over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月4日巴黎气温最高？
8月4日巴黎气温最高？
32°C 34%
31°C 26%
33°C 23%
34°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
29°C or below
6%
30°C
9%
31°C
26%
32°C
34%
33°C
23%
34°C
9%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 34%
31°C 26%
33°C 23%
34°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
29°C or below
$71 交易量
6%
30°C
$31 交易量
9%
31°C
$44 交易量
26%
32°C
$196 交易量
34%
33°C
$59 交易量
23%
34°C
$75 交易量
9%
35°C
$67 交易量
3%
36°C
$36 交易量
1%
37°C
$16 交易量
<1%
38°C
$16 交易量
<1%
39°C or higher
$46 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a likely daily maximum near 32°C in Paris on August 4, driven by continued warm advection from the south under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on variables such as afternoon cloud development, boundary-layer mixing depth, and minor shifts in the 500 hPa ridge position, which can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. With probabilities clustered tightly between 31°C and 33°C, traders are pricing in genuine forecast uncertainty typical of medium-range guidance, where small changes in insolation or local wind patterns can tip the observed high. Updated model runs and Météo-France bulletins over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$657结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a likely daily maximum near 32°C in Paris on August 4, driven by continued warm advection from the south under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on variables such as afternoon cloud development, boundary-layer mixing depth, and minor shifts in the 500 hPa ridge position, which can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. With probabilities clustered tightly between 31°C and 33°C, traders are pricing in genuine forecast uncertainty typical of medium-range guidance, where small changes in insolation or local wind patterns can tip the observed high. Updated model runs and Météo-France bulletins over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$657结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent official forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a likely daily maximum near 32°C in Paris on August 4, driven by continued warm advection from the south under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on variables such as afternoon cloud development, boundary-layer mixing depth, and minor shifts in the 500 hPa ridge position, which can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. With probabilities clustered tightly between 31°C and 33°C, traders are pricing in genuine forecast uncertainty typical of medium-range guidance, where small changes in insolation or local wind patterns can tip the observed high. Updated model runs and Météo-France bulletins over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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