Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a 29–31°C range for the August 4 high, with thunderstorms and cloud cover expected to moderate peak temperatures amid typical subtropical summer humidity near 80%. Numerical weather models show modest disagreement on timing and intensity of rainfall, which directly influences surface heating and explains the tight market split between 29°C and 31°C outcomes. Persistent moisture from regional monsoon patterns historically caps extremes in early August, while any earlier clearing could allow brief warming toward 32°C. Official updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these projections over the next 48 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月4日深圳气温最高？
8月4日深圳气温最高？
31°C 33%
29°C 31%
30°C 21%
32°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
31%
30°C
21%
31°C
33%
32°C
11%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 33%
29°C 31%
30°C 21%
32°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
25°C or below
$34 交易量
<1%
26°C
$115 交易量
2%
27°C
$282 交易量
2%
28°C
$63 交易量
7%
29°C
$279 交易量
31%
30°C
$29 交易量
21%
31°C
$44 交易量
33%
32°C
$45 交易量
11%
33°C
$29 交易量
4%
34°C
$110 交易量
1%
35°C or higher
$144 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a 29–31°C range for the August 4 high, with thunderstorms and cloud cover expected to moderate peak temperatures amid typical subtropical summer humidity near 80%. Numerical weather models show modest disagreement on timing and intensity of rainfall, which directly influences surface heating and explains the tight market split between 29°C and 31°C outcomes. Persistent moisture from regional monsoon patterns historically caps extremes in early August, while any earlier clearing could allow brief warming toward 32°C. Official updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these projections over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$1,173结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a 29–31°C range for the August 4 high, with thunderstorms and cloud cover expected to moderate peak temperatures amid typical subtropical summer humidity near 80%. Numerical weather models show modest disagreement on timing and intensity of rainfall, which directly influences surface heating and explains the tight market split between 29°C and 31°C outcomes. Persistent moisture from regional monsoon patterns historically caps extremes in early August, while any earlier clearing could allow brief warming toward 32°C. Official updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these projections over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,173结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a 29–31°C range for the August 4 high, with thunderstorms and cloud cover expected to moderate peak temperatures amid typical subtropical summer humidity near 80%. Numerical weather models show modest disagreement on timing and intensity of rainfall, which directly influences surface heating and explains the tight market split between 29°C and 31°C outcomes. Persistent moisture from regional monsoon patterns historically caps extremes in early August, while any earlier clearing could allow brief warming toward 32°C. Official updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these projections over the next 48 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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