Recent Met Office forecasts indicate an overnight minimum near 19–20 °C for London on August 4, with daytime maxima around 28 °C following a period of hot, settled weather. This drives the tight clustering of implied probabilities on 19–21 °C outcomes, reflecting modest uncertainty in ensemble guidance around clear skies, light winds, and urban heat-island retention that limit nocturnal cooling. Models show limited disagreement on timing of any subtle Atlantic influence or increased cloud, which could shift the low by 1–2 °C; traders monitor the next high-resolution runs and Met Office updates through August 3 for resolution signals. Historical August minima average near 14 °C, underscoring how current anomalous warmth elevates the expected floor.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月4日伦敦最低气温？
8月4日伦敦最低气温？
20°C 42%
21°C 33%
19°C 17%
22°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
15°C or below
3%
16°C
5%
17°C
7%
18°C
9%
19°C
17%
20°C
42%
21°C
33%
22°C
10%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 42%
21°C 33%
19°C 17%
22°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
15°C or below
$20 交易量
3%
16°C
$0 交易量
5%
17°C
$0 交易量
7%
18°C
$0 交易量
9%
19°C
$0 交易量
17%
20°C
$2 交易量
42%
21°C
$0 交易量
33%
22°C
$0 交易量
10%
23°C
$45 交易量
1%
24°C
$10 交易量
1%
25°C or higher
$20 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts indicate an overnight minimum near 19–20 °C for London on August 4, with daytime maxima around 28 °C following a period of hot, settled weather. This drives the tight clustering of implied probabilities on 19–21 °C outcomes, reflecting modest uncertainty in ensemble guidance around clear skies, light winds, and urban heat-island retention that limit nocturnal cooling. Models show limited disagreement on timing of any subtle Atlantic influence or increased cloud, which could shift the low by 1–2 °C; traders monitor the next high-resolution runs and Met Office updates through August 3 for resolution signals. Historical August minima average near 14 °C, underscoring how current anomalous warmth elevates the expected floor.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$97结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts indicate an overnight minimum near 19–20 °C for London on August 4, with daytime maxima around 28 °C following a period of hot, settled weather. This drives the tight clustering of implied probabilities on 19–21 °C outcomes, reflecting modest uncertainty in ensemble guidance around clear skies, light winds, and urban heat-island retention that limit nocturnal cooling. Models show limited disagreement on timing of any subtle Atlantic influence or increased cloud, which could shift the low by 1–2 °C; traders monitor the next high-resolution runs and Met Office updates through August 3 for resolution signals. Historical August minima average near 14 °C, underscoring how current anomalous warmth elevates the expected floor.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$97结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent Met Office forecasts indicate an overnight minimum near 19–20 °C for London on August 4, with daytime maxima around 28 °C following a period of hot, settled weather. This drives the tight clustering of implied probabilities on 19–21 °C outcomes, reflecting modest uncertainty in ensemble guidance around clear skies, light winds, and urban heat-island retention that limit nocturnal cooling. Models show limited disagreement on timing of any subtle Atlantic influence or increased cloud, which could shift the low by 1–2 °C; traders monitor the next high-resolution runs and Met Office updates through August 3 for resolution signals. Historical August minima average near 14 °C, underscoring how current anomalous warmth elevates the expected floor.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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