Anthropic established the Mythos tier above its Opus models with the April 2026 Claude Mythos Preview under Project Glasswing, followed by the June public release of the safeguarded Claude Fable 5 alongside the more capable Mythos 5 for select users. Trader consensus on the next Mythos-class model favors Anthropic due to its documented lead in cybersecurity benchmarks and agentic coding capabilities, though OpenAI and Google are closing the gap with frontier large language models expected in late 2026. Key near-term catalysts include potential Anthropic announcements around September 2026, regulatory approvals for wider deployment, and any verified capability leaks or partner updates that could shift the market-implied odds on release timing and originator.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?
$157,748 交易量
August 31
26%
9月15日
55%
September 30
75%
$157,748 交易量
August 31
26%
9月15日
55%
September 30
75%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间: Aug 6, 2026, 9:37 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic established the Mythos tier above its Opus models with the April 2026 Claude Mythos Preview under Project Glasswing, followed by the June public release of the safeguarded Claude Fable 5 alongside the more capable Mythos 5 for select users. Trader consensus on the next Mythos-class model favors Anthropic due to its documented lead in cybersecurity benchmarks and agentic coding capabilities, though OpenAI and Google are closing the gap with frontier large language models expected in late 2026. Key near-term catalysts include potential Anthropic announcements around September 2026, regulatory approvals for wider deployment, and any verified capability leaks or partner updates that could shift the market-implied odds on release timing and originator.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题