Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's repeated public rejections of snap elections, including his April 29, 2026, Congress statement affirming Spain needs eight more years of progressive government through 2027, anchor trader consensus at 79.5% for "No." Despite ongoing budget deadlocks—now in its third year without a new national spending plan—and PSOE setbacks in early 2026 regional votes like Aragon and Castile and León, the minority coalition has maintained parliamentary support from Sumar and regional allies, avoiding no-confidence motions or Cortes dissolution. Opposition pressure from PP leader Feijóo persists without traction, while constitutional rules limit general elections to no later than August 2027 absent early call, underscoring low near-term snap risk.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$19,222 交易量
$19,222 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$19,222 交易量
$19,222 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's repeated public rejections of snap elections, including his April 29, 2026, Congress statement affirming Spain needs eight more years of progressive government through 2027, anchor trader consensus at 79.5% for "No." Despite ongoing budget deadlocks—now in its third year without a new national spending plan—and PSOE setbacks in early 2026 regional votes like Aragon and Castile and León, the minority coalition has maintained parliamentary support from Sumar and regional allies, avoiding no-confidence motions or Cortes dissolution. Opposition pressure from PP leader Feijóo persists without traction, while constitutional rules limit general elections to no later than August 2027 absent early call, underscoring low near-term snap risk.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
交易量
$19,222结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's repeated public rejections of snap elections, including his April 29, 2026, Congress statement affirming Spain needs eight more years of progressive government through 2027, anchor trader consensus at 79.5% for "No." Despite ongoing budget deadlocks—now in its third year without a new national spending plan—and PSOE setbacks in early 2026 regional votes like Aragon and Castile and León, the minority coalition has maintained parliamentary support from Sumar and regional allies, avoiding no-confidence motions or Cortes dissolution. Opposition pressure from PP leader Feijóo persists without traction, while constitutional rules limit general elections to no later than August 2027 absent early call, underscoring low near-term snap risk.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$19,222结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's repeated public rejections of snap elections, including his April 29, 2026, Congress statement affirming Spain needs eight more years of progressive government through 2027, anchor trader consensus at 79.5% for "No." Despite ongoing budget deadlocks—now in its third year without a new national spending plan—and PSOE setbacks in early 2026 regional votes like Aragon and Castile and León, the minority coalition has maintained parliamentary support from Sumar and regional allies, avoiding no-confidence motions or Cortes dissolution. Opposition pressure from PP leader Feijóo persists without traction, while constitutional rules limit general elections to no later than August 2027 absent early call, underscoring low near-term snap risk.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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