Record domestic opening of $360 million has established a high bar for "Brand New Day," positioning the sub-$180 million second-weekend outcome as the clear market favorite at 75% implied probability. Blockbuster superhero films frequently front-load earnings, and this entry’s rapid $1 billion global pace plus strong 90% critical consensus suggest solid word-of-mouth that may temper but not eliminate the expected 50%+ drop. Limited competition and summer audience appetite provide some cushion, yet historical patterns for comparable tentpoles indicate traders are pricing in a front-loaded run rather than sustained legs. Second-weekend numbers and early Monday updates remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift the tighter 180–190 million band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
<180m 78%
1.8亿-1.9亿美元 14%
190-200m 7%
2.1亿-2.2亿美元 5%
最新
$14,810 交易量
最新
$14,810 交易量
2026-08-09
<180m
78%
1.8亿-1.9亿美元
14%
190-200m
7%
2亿-2.1亿美元
1%
2.1亿-2.2亿美元
5%
2.2亿+
3%
<180m 78%
1.8亿-1.9亿美元 14%
190-200m 7%
2.1亿-2.2亿美元 5%
最新
$14,810 交易量
最新
$14,810 交易量
2026-08-09
<180m
$8,441 交易量
78%
1.8亿-1.9亿美元
$881 交易量
14%
190-200m
$1,160 交易量
7%
2亿-2.1亿美元
$846 交易量
1%
2.1亿-2.2亿美元
$1,076 交易量
5%
2.2亿+
$2,406 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Record domestic opening of $360 million has established a high bar for "Brand New Day," positioning the sub-$180 million second-weekend outcome as the clear market favorite at 75% implied probability. Blockbuster superhero films frequently front-load earnings, and this entry’s rapid $1 billion global pace plus strong 90% critical consensus suggest solid word-of-mouth that may temper but not eliminate the expected 50%+ drop. Limited competition and summer audience appetite provide some cushion, yet historical patterns for comparable tentpoles indicate traders are pricing in a front-loaded run rather than sustained legs. Second-weekend numbers and early Monday updates remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift the tighter 180–190 million band.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间： Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
交易量
$14,810结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Record domestic opening of $360 million has established a high bar for "Brand New Day," positioning the sub-$180 million second-weekend outcome as the clear market favorite at 75% implied probability. Blockbuster superhero films frequently front-load earnings, and this entry’s rapid $1 billion global pace plus strong 90% critical consensus suggest solid word-of-mouth that may temper but not eliminate the expected 50%+ drop. Limited competition and summer audience appetite provide some cushion, yet historical patterns for comparable tentpoles indicate traders are pricing in a front-loaded run rather than sustained legs. Second-weekend numbers and early Monday updates remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift the tighter 180–190 million band.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$14,810结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Record domestic opening of $360 million has established a high bar for "Brand New Day," positioning the sub-$180 million second-weekend outcome as the clear market favorite at 75% implied probability. Blockbuster superhero films frequently front-load earnings, and this entry’s rapid $1 billion global pace plus strong 90% critical consensus suggest solid word-of-mouth that may temper but not eliminate the expected 50%+ drop. Limited competition and summer audience appetite provide some cushion, yet historical patterns for comparable tentpoles indicate traders are pricing in a front-loaded run rather than sustained legs. Second-weekend numbers and early Monday updates remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift the tighter 180–190 million band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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