**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestically, topping *Avengers: Endgame*, fueled by massive previews, strong critical reception, and widespread audience enthusiasm. Traders heavily favor a second-weekend gross under $180 million at 78% implied probability because mega-openers of this scale historically experience 50%+ drops even with solid word-of-mouth, and current tracking plus early social metrics align with that pattern rather than an outlier hold. The film’s quick path to $1 billion globally underscores broad appeal, yet the sheer size of the debut creates a steep baseline for retention. With minimal competition and the next chart update days away, momentum hinges on whether legs exceed typical post-record benchmarks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
<180m 78%
2.1亿-2.2亿美元 7%
2.2亿+ 7%
1.8亿-1.9亿美元 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
<180m
78%
1.8亿-1.9亿美元
7%
190-200m
5%
2亿-2.1亿美元
5%
2.1亿-2.2亿美元
7%
2.2亿+
7%
<180m 78%
2.1亿-2.2亿美元 7%
2.2亿+ 7%
1.8亿-1.9亿美元 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
<180m
$4,771 交易量
78%
1.8亿-1.9亿美元
$659 交易量
7%
190-200m
$659 交易量
5%
2亿-2.1亿美元
$725 交易量
5%
2.1亿-2.2亿美元
$904 交易量
7%
2.2亿+
$2,261 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestically, topping *Avengers: Endgame*, fueled by massive previews, strong critical reception, and widespread audience enthusiasm. Traders heavily favor a second-weekend gross under $180 million at 78% implied probability because mega-openers of this scale historically experience 50%+ drops even with solid word-of-mouth, and current tracking plus early social metrics align with that pattern rather than an outlier hold. The film’s quick path to $1 billion globally underscores broad appeal, yet the sheer size of the debut creates a steep baseline for retention. With minimal competition and the next chart update days away, momentum hinges on whether legs exceed typical post-record benchmarks.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间： Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
交易量
$9,978结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestically, topping *Avengers: Endgame*, fueled by massive previews, strong critical reception, and widespread audience enthusiasm. Traders heavily favor a second-weekend gross under $180 million at 78% implied probability because mega-openers of this scale historically experience 50%+ drops even with solid word-of-mouth, and current tracking plus early social metrics align with that pattern rather than an outlier hold. The film’s quick path to $1 billion globally underscores broad appeal, yet the sheer size of the debut creates a steep baseline for retention. With minimal competition and the next chart update days away, momentum hinges on whether legs exceed typical post-record benchmarks.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$9,978结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestically, topping *Avengers: Endgame*, fueled by massive previews, strong critical reception, and widespread audience enthusiasm. Traders heavily favor a second-weekend gross under $180 million at 78% implied probability because mega-openers of this scale historically experience 50%+ drops even with solid word-of-mouth, and current tracking plus early social metrics align with that pattern rather than an outlier hold. The film’s quick path to $1 billion globally underscores broad appeal, yet the sheer size of the debut creates a steep baseline for retention. With minimal competition and the next chart update days away, momentum hinges on whether legs exceed typical post-record benchmarks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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