Record previews of $72 million have fueled trader consensus around a $162–172 million opening day for Spider-Man: Brand New Day, positioning the film for one of the largest single-day hauls in history. Strong presales, franchise momentum from No Way Home, and premium-format availability continue to support the 65% implied probability on the 167–172 million bucket, while competition from the late-July release window and absence of IMAX screens temper upside beyond 177 million. Recent tracking upgrades and early social buzz differentiate the mid-range outcomes from lower estimates, with the next few days of ticket sales serving as the key swing factor before the August 1–3 debut window locks in results.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于《蜘蛛侠：崭新一天》开幕日票房（更高罢工）
《蜘蛛侠：崭新一天》开幕日票房（更高罢工）
1.72-1.77亿 65%
1.62亿-1.67亿美元 55%
1.67亿-1.72亿美元 50%
1.52亿-1.57亿美元 48%
$110 交易量
$110 交易量
2026-07-31
低于1.52亿
3%
1.52亿-1.57亿美元
48%
1.57亿-1.62亿美元
12%
1.62亿-1.67亿美元
55%
1.67亿-1.72亿美元
50%
1.72-1.77亿
65%
1.77亿-1.82亿美元
11%
1.82亿以上
11%
1.72-1.77亿 65%
1.62亿-1.67亿美元 55%
1.67亿-1.72亿美元 50%
1.52亿-1.57亿美元 48%
$110 交易量
$110 交易量
2026-07-31
低于1.52亿
$10 交易量
3%
1.52亿-1.57亿美元
$0 交易量
48%
1.57亿-1.62亿美元
$0 交易量
12%
1.62亿-1.67亿美元
$100 交易量
55%
1.67亿-1.72亿美元
$0 交易量
50%
1.72-1.77亿
$0 交易量
65%
1.77亿-1.82亿美元
$0 交易量
11%
1.82亿以上
$0 交易量
11%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Daily Box Office will gross domestically on July 31. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for July 31 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for July 31 (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Record previews of $72 million have fueled trader consensus around a $162–172 million opening day for Spider-Man: Brand New Day, positioning the film for one of the largest single-day hauls in history. Strong presales, franchise momentum from No Way Home, and premium-format availability continue to support the 65% implied probability on the 167–172 million bucket, while competition from the late-July release window and absence of IMAX screens temper upside beyond 177 million. Recent tracking upgrades and early social buzz differentiate the mid-range outcomes from lower estimates, with the next few days of ticket sales serving as the key swing factor before the August 1–3 debut window locks in results.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Daily Box Office will gross domestically on July 31. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for July 31 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for July 31 (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for July 31 (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间： Jul 31, 2026, 11:55 AM ET
交易量
$110结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 11:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Daily Box Office will gross domestically on July 31. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for July 31 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for July 31 (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Record previews of $72 million have fueled trader consensus around a $162–172 million opening day for Spider-Man: Brand New Day, positioning the film for one of the largest single-day hauls in history. Strong presales, franchise momentum from No Way Home, and premium-format availability continue to support the 65% implied probability on the 167–172 million bucket, while competition from the late-July release window and absence of IMAX screens temper upside beyond 177 million. Recent tracking upgrades and early social buzz differentiate the mid-range outcomes from lower estimates, with the next few days of ticket sales serving as the key swing factor before the August 1–3 debut window locks in results.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Daily Box Office will gross domestically on July 31. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for July 31 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for July 31 (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for July 31 (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$110结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 11:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Record previews of $72 million have fueled trader consensus around a $162–172 million opening day for Spider-Man: Brand New Day, positioning the film for one of the largest single-day hauls in history. Strong presales, franchise momentum from No Way Home, and premium-format availability continue to support the 65% implied probability on the 167–172 million bucket, while competition from the late-July release window and absence of IMAX screens temper upside beyond 177 million. Recent tracking upgrades and early social buzz differentiate the mid-range outcomes from lower estimates, with the next few days of ticket sales serving as the key swing factor before the August 1–3 debut window locks in results.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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