Google's next Gemini Pro flagship remains delayed following the May 2026 announcement of the 3.5 series at I/O, with the Pro variant still absent from the public API, pricing pages, and Gemini app as of mid-August despite internal testing with partners and an initial June-July target. Repeated slips—attributed to performance shortfalls against internal goals—have shifted focus to faster Flash iterations like the August 13 3.7 release, while DeepMind has begun pre-training for Gemini 4. These factors, combined with the six-month gap since Gemini 3.1 Pro's February launch, underpin the market's elevated 55.5% probability of no release by November 1 and the compressed near-term windows.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于在11月1日前不发布 40%
9 月 7 日–9 月 13 日 25%
9月14日–9月20日 24%
2026 年 8 月 31 日之前 24%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
2026 年 8 月 31 日之前
24%
8月31日–9月6日
24%
9 月 7 日–9 月 13 日
25%
9月14日–9月20日
24%
9月21日–9月27日
23%
9 月 28 日–10 月 4 日
23%
10月5日–10月11日
23%
10 月 12 日–10 月 18 日
22%
10 月 19 日–10 月 25 日
22%
10 月 26 日–11 月 1 日
23%
在11月1日前不发布
56%
在11月1日前不发布 40%
9 月 7 日–9 月 13 日 25%
9月14日–9月20日 24%
2026 年 8 月 31 日之前 24%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
2026 年 8 月 31 日之前
$0 交易量
24%
8月31日–9月6日
$0 交易量
24%
9 月 7 日–9 月 13 日
$0 交易量
25%
9月14日–9月20日
$0 交易量
24%
9月21日–9月27日
$0 交易量
23%
9 月 28 日–10 月 4 日
$0 交易量
23%
10月5日–10月11日
$0 交易量
23%
10 月 12 日–10 月 18 日
$0 交易量
22%
10 月 19 日–10 月 25 日
$0 交易量
22%
10 月 26 日–11 月 1 日
$0 交易量
23%
在11月1日前不发布
$47 交易量
56%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's next Gemini Pro flagship remains delayed following the May 2026 announcement of the 3.5 series at I/O, with the Pro variant still absent from the public API, pricing pages, and Gemini app as of mid-August despite internal testing with partners and an initial June-July target. Repeated slips—attributed to performance shortfalls against internal goals—have shifted focus to faster Flash iterations like the August 13 3.7 release, while DeepMind has begun pre-training for Gemini 4. These factors, combined with the six-month gap since Gemini 3.1 Pro's February launch, underpin the market's elevated 55.5% probability of no release by November 1 and the compressed near-term windows.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ET
交易量
$47结束日期
2026-11-01市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's next Gemini Pro flagship remains delayed following the May 2026 announcement of the 3.5 series at I/O, with the Pro variant still absent from the public API, pricing pages, and Gemini app as of mid-August despite internal testing with partners and an initial June-July target. Repeated slips—attributed to performance shortfalls against internal goals—have shifted focus to faster Flash iterations like the August 13 3.7 release, while DeepMind has begun pre-training for Gemini 4. These factors, combined with the six-month gap since Gemini 3.1 Pro's February launch, underpin the market's elevated 55.5% probability of no release by November 1 and the compressed near-term windows.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$47结束日期
2026-11-01市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's next Gemini Pro flagship remains delayed following the May 2026 announcement of the 3.5 series at I/O, with the Pro variant still absent from the public API, pricing pages, and Gemini app as of mid-August despite internal testing with partners and an initial June-July target. Repeated slips—attributed to performance shortfalls against internal goals—have shifted focus to faster Flash iterations like the August 13 3.7 release, while DeepMind has begun pre-training for Gemini 4. These factors, combined with the six-month gap since Gemini 3.1 Pro's February launch, underpin the market's elevated 55.5% probability of no release by November 1 and the compressed near-term windows.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题