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icon for 哪些国家将在12月31日之前承认以色列？
地缘政治·叙利亚

哪些国家将在12月31日之前承认以色列？

icon for 哪些国家将在12月31日之前承认以色列？
地缘政治·叙利亚

哪些国家将在12月31日之前承认以色列？

6月 30

12月 31

6月 30

12月 31

$110,298 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$110,298 交易量

Polymarket
icon for 黎巴嫩

黎巴嫩

$28,765 交易量

72%

icon for 委内瑞拉

委内瑞拉

$5,429 交易量

19%

icon for 叙利亚

叙利亚

$5,810 交易量

13%

icon for 沙特阿拉伯

沙特阿拉伯

$17,851 交易量

13%

icon for 突尼斯

突尼斯

$6,244 交易量

12%

icon for 古巴

古巴

$1,524 交易量

11%

icon for 印尼

印尼

$2,544 交易量

11%

icon for 孟加拉国

孟加拉国

$7,029 交易量

8%

icon for 科威特

科威特

$4,760 交易量

8%

icon for 伊朗

伊朗

$4,036 交易量

8%

icon for 卡塔尔

卡塔尔

$7,325 交易量

7%

icon for 伊拉克

伊拉克

$613 交易量

7%

icon for 巴基斯坦

巴基斯坦

$2,382 交易量

6%

icon for 朝鲜

朝鲜

$1,789 交易量

5%

icon for 阿富汗

阿富汗

$10,122 交易量

5%

icon for 马来西亚

马来西亚

$4,076 交易量

5%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic recognition of Israel by additional states remains closely tied to progress on Palestinian statehood and regional normalization efforts. Saudi Arabia continues to condition any ties on an irreversible pathway to a Palestinian state with East Jerusalem as capital, a stance reinforced in 2025–2026 statements amid stalled Abraham Accords follow-on talks. The Gaza conflict and related diplomatic fallout have further reduced near-term momentum, with no new recognitions reported among the 29 UN members still withholding formal acknowledgment as of early 2026. Trader focus centers on potential catalysts such as U.S.-brokered security arrangements, two-state initiatives, or shifts in OIC and Arab League positions, though current conditions suggest limited movement before year-end absent major breakthroughs in Israeli-Palestinian negotiations or broader Middle East diplomacy.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$110,298
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 1:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic recognition of Israel by additional states remains closely tied to progress on Palestinian statehood and regional normalization efforts. Saudi Arabia continues to condition any ties on an irreversible pathway to a Palestinian state with East Jerusalem as capital, a stance reinforced in 2025–2026 statements amid stalled Abraham Accords follow-on talks. The Gaza conflict and related diplomatic fallout have further reduced near-term momentum, with no new recognitions reported among the 29 UN members still withholding formal acknowledgment as of early 2026. Trader focus centers on potential catalysts such as U.S.-brokered security arrangements, two-state initiatives, or shifts in OIC and Arab League positions, though current conditions suggest limited movement before year-end absent major breakthroughs in Israeli-Palestinian negotiations or broader Middle East diplomacy.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$110,298
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 1:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"哪些国家将在12月31日之前承认以色列？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 16 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"黎巴嫩"，概率为 72%，其次是"委内瑞拉"，概率为 19%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 72¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 72%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"哪些国家将在12月31日之前承认以色列？"已产生 $110.3K 的总交易量（自Jun 1, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"哪些国家将在12月31日之前承认以色列？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 16 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"哪些国家将在12月31日之前承认以色列？"的当前领先者是"黎巴嫩"，概率为 72%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 72%。紧随其后的结果是"委内瑞拉"，概率为 19%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"哪些国家将在12月31日之前承认以色列？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。