OpenAI's recent cadence of frontier model releases continues to shape trader expectations around its next major update, with GPT-5.5 and GPT-5.5 Instant rolling out in April and May 2026 to deliver enhanced reasoning, agentic coding, and personalization features. These builds build directly on the March launch of GPT-5.4 and its Thinking variant, which integrated advanced tool use and reduced error rates for complex professional tasks. Competitive pressure from Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 and Google's Gemini 3.1 has accelerated OpenAI's iteration cycle, while enterprise demand for reliable agents and unified workflows drives internal priorities. Traders are watching for any signals around further scaling, safety evaluations, or API expansions that could signal the timing of the subsequent flagship release.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$10,273 交易量
2026-09-30
5月31日
17%
June 30
82%
September 30
93%
$10,273 交易量
5月31日
$2,156 交易量
17%
June 30
$2,497 交易量
82%
September 30
$5,620 交易量
93%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's recent cadence of frontier model releases continues to shape trader expectations around its next major update, with GPT-5.5 and GPT-5.5 Instant rolling out in April and May 2026 to deliver enhanced reasoning, agentic coding, and personalization features. These builds build directly on the March launch of GPT-5.4 and its Thinking variant, which integrated advanced tool use and reduced error rates for complex professional tasks. Competitive pressure from Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 and Google's Gemini 3.1 has accelerated OpenAI's iteration cycle, while enterprise demand for reliable agents and unified workflows drives internal priorities. Traders are watching for any signals around further scaling, safety evaluations, or API expansions that could signal the timing of the subsequent flagship release.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
交易量
$10,273结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's recent cadence of frontier model releases continues to shape trader expectations around its next major update, with GPT-5.5 and GPT-5.5 Instant rolling out in April and May 2026 to deliver enhanced reasoning, agentic coding, and personalization features. These builds build directly on the March launch of GPT-5.4 and its Thinking variant, which integrated advanced tool use and reduced error rates for complex professional tasks. Competitive pressure from Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 and Google's Gemini 3.1 has accelerated OpenAI's iteration cycle, while enterprise demand for reliable agents and unified workflows drives internal priorities. Traders are watching for any signals around further scaling, safety evaluations, or API expansions that could signal the timing of the subsequent flagship release.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$10,273结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's recent cadence of frontier model releases continues to shape trader expectations around its next major update, with GPT-5.5 and GPT-5.5 Instant rolling out in April and May 2026 to deliver enhanced reasoning, agentic coding, and personalization features. These builds build directly on the March launch of GPT-5.4 and its Thinking variant, which integrated advanced tool use and reduced error rates for complex professional tasks. Competitive pressure from Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 and Google's Gemini 3.1 has accelerated OpenAI's iteration cycle, while enterprise demand for reliable agents and unified workflows drives internal priorities. Traders are watching for any signals around further scaling, safety evaluations, or API expansions that could signal the timing of the subsequent flagship release.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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