Ongoing antitrust litigation from a coalition of 12 states remains the dominant factor keeping the market-implied probability of a 2026 close at just 22.1 percent for “Yes.” Despite U.S. DOJ clearance in June 2026, international approvals, and overwhelming shareholder ratification earlier this year, a federal judge issued a temporary restraining order in July followed by a stipulation delaying any closing until after a March 2027 trial or June 2027 at the earliest. Paramount’s introduction of a quarterly ticking fee after December 31 underscores the companies’ confidence in eventual completion yet highlights realistic slippage beyond year-end amid appeals and potential remedies. Traders view the extended timeline and unresolved state claims as the primary barriers to a 2026 resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
22% 概率
$150,197 交易量
$150,197 交易量
2026-12-31
是
22% 概率
$150,197 交易量
$150,197 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.Ongoing antitrust litigation from a coalition of 12 states remains the dominant factor keeping the market-implied probability of a 2026 close at just 22.1 percent for “Yes.” Despite U.S. DOJ clearance in June 2026, international approvals, and overwhelming shareholder ratification earlier this year, a federal judge issued a temporary restraining order in July followed by a stipulation delaying any closing until after a March 2027 trial or June 2027 at the earliest. Paramount’s introduction of a quarterly ticking fee after December 31 underscores the companies’ confidence in eventual completion yet highlights realistic slippage beyond year-end amid appeals and potential remedies. Traders view the extended timeline and unresolved state claims as the primary barriers to a 2026 resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
市场开放时间： Dec 8, 2025, 11:30 AM ET
交易量
$150,197结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 8, 2025, 11:30 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.Ongoing antitrust litigation from a coalition of 12 states remains the dominant factor keeping the market-implied probability of a 2026 close at just 22.1 percent for “Yes.” Despite U.S. DOJ clearance in June 2026, international approvals, and overwhelming shareholder ratification earlier this year, a federal judge issued a temporary restraining order in July followed by a stipulation delaying any closing until after a March 2027 trial or June 2027 at the earliest. Paramount’s introduction of a quarterly ticking fee after December 31 underscores the companies’ confidence in eventual completion yet highlights realistic slippage beyond year-end amid appeals and potential remedies. Traders view the extended timeline and unresolved state claims as the primary barriers to a 2026 resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
交易量
$150,197结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 8, 2025, 11:30 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing antitrust litigation from a coalition of 12 states remains the dominant factor keeping the market-implied probability of a 2026 close at just 22.1 percent for “Yes.” Despite U.S. DOJ clearance in June 2026, international approvals, and overwhelming shareholder ratification earlier this year, a federal judge issued a temporary restraining order in July followed by a stipulation delaying any closing until after a March 2027 trial or June 2027 at the earliest. Paramount’s introduction of a quarterly ticking fee after December 31 underscores the companies’ confidence in eventual completion yet highlights realistic slippage beyond year-end amid appeals and potential remedies. Traders view the extended timeline and unresolved state claims as the primary barriers to a 2026 resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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