Wildberries (RWB) faces substantial pressure from repeated Ukrainian drone strikes on its warehouses beginning in July 2026, which destroyed or damaged an estimated 17–43% of its logistics capacity and triggered hundreds of billions of rubles in losses for the company and third-party sellers. The firm carries roughly 1.3 trillion rubles in debt, predominantly short-term obligations to state-linked banks such as VTB, alongside reported covenant breaches and sharply negative cash flow in 2025. Despite these strains, Wildberries has avoided formal insolvency proceedings by staging compensation payments to sellers, securing tax deferrals, shifting toward partner warehouses, and benefiting from its scale and ties to major lenders that have refrained from accelerating repayment. Trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% probability on “No” rests on expectations of continued operational continuity and external support through the end of 2026 rather than an immediate bankruptcy filing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8% 概率
$137,222 交易量
$137,222 交易量
2026-12-31
8% 概率
$137,222 交易量
$137,222 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if RVB LLC, which does business as Wildberries, or any corporate parent, subsidiary, or successor of RVB LLC, announces that it is petitioning or filing for or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs, or if such a filing or petition is rejected, withdrawn, or otherwise not accepted.
The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents RVB LLC, or through a filing confirmed to be authentic.
Announcements that the company is considering bankruptcy, will file depending on the outcome of a subsequent event, or other statements that do not announce that a filing has or will definitively occur will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from RVB LLC and its authorized representatives, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Wildberries (RWB) faces substantial pressure from repeated Ukrainian drone strikes on its warehouses beginning in July 2026, which destroyed or damaged an estimated 17–43% of its logistics capacity and triggered hundreds of billions of rubles in losses for the company and third-party sellers. The firm carries roughly 1.3 trillion rubles in debt, predominantly short-term obligations to state-linked banks such as VTB, alongside reported covenant breaches and sharply negative cash flow in 2025. Despite these strains, Wildberries has avoided formal insolvency proceedings by staging compensation payments to sellers, securing tax deferrals, shifting toward partner warehouses, and benefiting from its scale and ties to major lenders that have refrained from accelerating repayment. Trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% probability on “No” rests on expectations of continued operational continuity and external support through the end of 2026 rather than an immediate bankruptcy filing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if RVB LLC, which does business as Wildberries, or any corporate parent, subsidiary, or successor of RVB LLC, announces that it is petitioning or filing for or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs, or if such a filing or petition is rejected, withdrawn, or otherwise not accepted.
The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents RVB LLC, or through a filing confirmed to be authentic.
Announcements that the company is considering bankruptcy, will file depending on the outcome of a subsequent event, or other statements that do not announce that a filing has or will definitively occur will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from RVB LLC and its authorized representatives, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs, or if such a filing or petition is rejected, withdrawn, or otherwise not accepted.
The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents RVB LLC, or through a filing confirmed to be authentic.
Announcements that the company is considering bankruptcy, will file depending on the outcome of a subsequent event, or other statements that do not announce that a filing has or will definitively occur will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from RVB LLC and its authorized representatives, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 24, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
交易量
$137,222结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2026, 12:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if RVB LLC, which does business as Wildberries, or any corporate parent, subsidiary, or successor of RVB LLC, announces that it is petitioning or filing for or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs, or if such a filing or petition is rejected, withdrawn, or otherwise not accepted.
The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents RVB LLC, or through a filing confirmed to be authentic.
Announcements that the company is considering bankruptcy, will file depending on the outcome of a subsequent event, or other statements that do not announce that a filing has or will definitively occur will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from RVB LLC and its authorized representatives, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Wildberries (RWB) faces substantial pressure from repeated Ukrainian drone strikes on its warehouses beginning in July 2026, which destroyed or damaged an estimated 17–43% of its logistics capacity and triggered hundreds of billions of rubles in losses for the company and third-party sellers. The firm carries roughly 1.3 trillion rubles in debt, predominantly short-term obligations to state-linked banks such as VTB, alongside reported covenant breaches and sharply negative cash flow in 2025. Despite these strains, Wildberries has avoided formal insolvency proceedings by staging compensation payments to sellers, securing tax deferrals, shifting toward partner warehouses, and benefiting from its scale and ties to major lenders that have refrained from accelerating repayment. Trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% probability on “No” rests on expectations of continued operational continuity and external support through the end of 2026 rather than an immediate bankruptcy filing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if RVB LLC, which does business as Wildberries, or any corporate parent, subsidiary, or successor of RVB LLC, announces that it is petitioning or filing for or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs, or if such a filing or petition is rejected, withdrawn, or otherwise not accepted.
The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents RVB LLC, or through a filing confirmed to be authentic.
Announcements that the company is considering bankruptcy, will file depending on the outcome of a subsequent event, or other statements that do not announce that a filing has or will definitively occur will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from RVB LLC and its authorized representatives, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs, or if such a filing or petition is rejected, withdrawn, or otherwise not accepted.
The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents RVB LLC, or through a filing confirmed to be authentic.
Announcements that the company is considering bankruptcy, will file depending on the outcome of a subsequent event, or other statements that do not announce that a filing has or will definitively occur will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from RVB LLC and its authorized representatives, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$137,222结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2026, 12:29 PM ETWildberries (RWB) faces substantial pressure from repeated Ukrainian drone strikes on its warehouses beginning in July 2026, which destroyed or damaged an estimated 17–43% of its logistics capacity and triggered hundreds of billions of rubles in losses for the company and third-party sellers. The firm carries roughly 1.3 trillion rubles in debt, predominantly short-term obligations to state-linked banks such as VTB, alongside reported covenant breaches and sharply negative cash flow in 2025. Despite these strains, Wildberries has avoided formal insolvency proceedings by staging compensation payments to sellers, securing tax deferrals, shifting toward partner warehouses, and benefiting from its scale and ties to major lenders that have refrained from accelerating repayment. Trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% probability on “No” rests on expectations of continued operational continuity and external support through the end of 2026 rather than an immediate bankruptcy filing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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