France sits atop 2026 World Cup winner odds near +400 following convincing group-stage victories anchored by Kylian Mbappé’s multiple-goal contributions, while Spain holds second at roughly +500 despite a surprising draw against Cape Verde. England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil round out the leading contenders at +700 to +1000, reflecting trader consensus on squad depth, recent form, and star availability such as Lionel Messi’s hat trick and Jude Bellingham’s influence. Early results have tightened probabilities for European sides with favorable group matchups, while CONMEBOL teams benefit from proven knockout pedigree. Upcoming group fixtures, rest advantages, and potential bracket positioning will shape paths to the final as the expanded 48-team field advances.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于World Cup: Nation to Reach Final
World Cup: Nation to Reach Final
$5,751,767 交易量
France
38%
Argentina
36%
Spain
24%
England
23%
Brazil
16%
Netherlands
12%
Portugal
12%
Germany
9%
Norway
8%
Mexico
7%
Colombia
6%
Morocco
6%
USA
6%
Belgium
4%
Japan
4%
Switzerland
3%
Senegal
2%
Croatia
2%
Egypt
2%
Ecuador
2%
Australia
2%
Canada
2%
Paraguay
2%
Ivory Coast
2%
Sweden
1%
Austria
1%
Ghana
1%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
1%
Algeria
1%
Cape Verde
1%
DR Congo
1%
South Africa
<1%
$5,751,767 交易量
France
38%
Argentina
36%
Spain
24%
England
23%
Brazil
16%
Netherlands
12%
Portugal
12%
Germany
9%
Norway
8%
Mexico
7%
Colombia
6%
Morocco
6%
USA
6%
Belgium
4%
Japan
4%
Switzerland
3%
Senegal
2%
Croatia
2%
Egypt
2%
Ecuador
2%
Australia
2%
Canada
2%
Paraguay
2%
Ivory Coast
2%
Sweden
1%
Austria
1%
Ghana
1%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
1%
Algeria
1%
Cape Verde
1%
DR Congo
1%
South Africa
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 27, 2026, 10:34 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...France sits atop 2026 World Cup winner odds near +400 following convincing group-stage victories anchored by Kylian Mbappé’s multiple-goal contributions, while Spain holds second at roughly +500 despite a surprising draw against Cape Verde. England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil round out the leading contenders at +700 to +1000, reflecting trader consensus on squad depth, recent form, and star availability such as Lionel Messi’s hat trick and Jude Bellingham’s influence. Early results have tightened probabilities for European sides with favorable group matchups, while CONMEBOL teams benefit from proven knockout pedigree. Upcoming group fixtures, rest advantages, and potential bracket positioning will shape paths to the final as the expanded 48-team field advances.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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