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世界杯:进入决赛的国家

icon for 世界杯:进入决赛的国家

世界杯:进入决赛的国家

$5,586,896 交易量

2026-07-20
Polymarket

$5,586,896 交易量

Polymarket

Argentina

$136,026 交易量

43%

France

$215,924 交易量

36%

Spain

$102,005 交易量

24%

England

$88,265 交易量

23%

Brazil

$58,616 交易量

16%

Netherlands

$62,836 交易量

14%

Portugal

$125,723 交易量

14%

Germany

$66,924 交易量

10%

Norway

$101,545 交易量

8%

Mexico

$479,379 交易量

7%

Colombia

$81,898 交易量

6%

Morocco

$98,994 交易量

6%

USA

$253,045 交易量

6%

Belgium

$33,208 交易量

4%

Japan

$103,445 交易量

4%

Switzerland

$31,809 交易量

3%

Croatia

$25,536 交易量

3%

Ecuador

$21,030 交易量

3%

Ivory Coast

$13,463 交易量

2%

Senegal

$16,604 交易量

2%

Egypt

$5,508 交易量

2%

Canada

$9,968 交易量

2%

Austria

$10,050 交易量

2%

Paraguay

$3,691 交易量

2%

Ghana

$5,834 交易量

1%

Sweden

$18,047 交易量

1%

DR Congo

$2,575 交易量

1%

Bosnia and Herzegovina

$3,546 交易量

1%

Australia

$1,852 交易量

1%

Cape Verde

$13,333 交易量

1%

South Africa

$5,335 交易量

1%

Algeria

$2,826 交易量

1%

Iran

$391,303 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France sits atop 2026 World Cup winner odds near +400 following convincing group-stage victories anchored by Kylian Mbappé’s multiple-goal contributions, while Spain holds second at roughly +500 despite a surprising draw against Cape Verde. England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil round out the leading contenders at +700 to +1000, reflecting trader consensus on squad depth, recent form, and star availability such as Lionel Messi’s hat trick and Jude Bellingham’s influence. Early results have tightened probabilities for European sides with favorable group matchups, while CONMEBOL teams benefit from proven knockout pedigree. Upcoming group fixtures, rest advantages, and potential bracket positioning will shape paths to the final as the expanded 48-team field advances.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$5,586,896
结束日期
2026-07-20
市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 10:34 AM ET
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France sits atop 2026 World Cup winner odds near +400 following convincing group-stage victories anchored by Kylian Mbappé’s multiple-goal contributions, while Spain holds second at roughly +500 despite a surprising draw against Cape Verde. England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil round out the leading contenders at +700 to +1000, reflecting trader consensus on squad depth, recent form, and star availability such as Lionel Messi’s hat trick and Jude Bellingham’s influence. Early results have tightened probabilities for European sides with favorable group matchups, while CONMEBOL teams benefit from proven knockout pedigree. Upcoming group fixtures, rest advantages, and potential bracket positioning will shape paths to the final as the expanded 48-team field advances.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$5,586,896
结束日期
2026-07-20
市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 10:34 AM ET
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"世界杯:进入决赛的国家"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 48+ 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Argentina",概率为 43%,其次是"France",概率为 36%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 43¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 43%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"世界杯:进入决赛的国家"已产生 $5.6 million 的总交易量(自Apr 27, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"世界杯:进入决赛的国家"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 48+ 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"世界杯:进入决赛的国家"的当前领先者是"Argentina",概率为 43%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 43%。紧随其后的结果是"France",概率为 36%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"世界杯:进入决赛的国家"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。