The Democratic Party of Korea maintains overwhelming trader consensus for victory in the June 2026 local elections, reflecting its control of the presidency and national momentum following the 2024–2025 political crisis. Impeachment proceedings against former President Yoon Suk-yeol and the subsequent 2025 presidential win by a Democratic Party candidate shifted voter alignments toward the ruling party across provinces and major cities. Opposition parties, including the People Power Party, face structural challenges from internal divisions and limited recent electoral gains in key battlegrounds. Scheduled voting for governors, mayors, and municipal councils occurs amid stable economic conditions and established incumbency advantages for the dominant party. Late developments such as unexpected policy shifts, turnout fluctuations in swing regions, or coalition realignments could still narrow margins, though historical patterns show limited reversal of such entrenched leads within short timeframes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডSouth Korean court sentences former president Yoon to 5 years in prison on martial law charges
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 99%1%
A South Korean court sentenced former President Yoon Suk Yeol to five years in prison for charges related to his martial law decree, marking a significant legal defeat for the conservative leader and reinforcing the Democratic Party of Korea's political advantage ahead of the local elections.
Democratic Party floor spokesperson praises prosecutors’ death‑penalty request for Yoon
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 99%2%
A Democratic Party spokesperson publicly welcomed the prosecutors’ move, reinforcing the party’s tough stance on the former PPP president and further shifting market sentiment toward the DP.
South Korean President Lee meets China’s Xi, pledges stronger ties amid regional tensions
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 98%1%
President Lee Jae Myung’s high‑level visit to Beijing and agreement on cooperation underscored diplomatic stability for the governing Democratic Party, reinforcing voter confidence and nudging the DP price upward.
South Korea’s Constitutional Court removes police chief over martial law involvement
People Power Party (PPP) dips to 2%1%
The court’s decision to oust the police chief tied to Yoon’s martial‑law episode further implicated the People Power Party in the 2024 crisis, reinforcing the downward pressure on PPP’s odds.
Constitutional Court removes police chief over martial‑law involvement
People Power Party (PPP) dips to 2%1%
The court’s decision to oust the police chief implicated in Yoon’s 2024 martial‑law episode further damaged the PPP’s image, reinforcing the DP’s lead in the local‑election market.
President Lee meets Xi in Beijing, pledges stronger Korea‑China trade ties
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 98%3%
President Lee Jae Myung’s high‑profile visit to China underscored the Democratic administration’s diplomatic successes, improving its image domestically and contributing to a rise in DP confidence.
South Korean prosecutors seek death penalty for former President Yoon on insurrection charge
People Power Party (PPP) dips to 3%1%
Prosecutors asked for the maximum punishment for ex‑President Yoon Suk Yeol, a leading figure of the People Power Party, intensifying public backlash against the PPP and lifting Democratic Party confidence ahead of local elections.
South Korean prosecutors seek death penalty for former President Yoon on insurrection charge
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 97%2%
Prosecutors sought the death penalty for former President Yoon Suk Yeol on charges related to his 2024 martial law decree, highlighting his political downfall and reinforcing public and market confidence in the current Democratic Party leadership. This event likely contributed to the DP's price increase and PPP's decline around this date.
South Korean President Lee returns to presidential palace avoided by predecessor
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 96%1%
President Lee’s symbolic return to the Blue House highlighted the new administration’s break from Yoon’s legacy, boosting confidence in the Democratic Party and contributing to a slight rise in DP’s price.
Prosecutors seek death penalty for former President Yoon on insurrection charge
People Power Party (PPP) dips to 3%1%
South Korean prosecutors formally requested the maximum death penalty for ex‑President Yoon Suk‑yeol, a leading PPP figure, heightening public backlash against the party and boosting confidence in the DP ahead of local elections.
President Lee Jae Myung returns to Cheong Wa Dae after three years
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 96%1%
President Lee’s symbolic return to the Blue House underscored the Democratic Party’s regained authority, prompting a modest rise in DP odds as voters perceived a stable, unified government.
South Korea’s Constitutional Court removes police chief over martial law involvement
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 97%1%
The Constitutional Court removed the police chief for supporting former President Yoon's martial law imposition, highlighting the legal and political consequences faced by Yoon's administration. This event further weakened the People Power Party's standing and bolstered confidence in the Democratic Party of Korea's dominance.
South Korean President Lee returns to presidential palace avoided by predecessor
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 97%1%
President Lee Jae Myung moved the presidential office back to the traditional Blue House, reversing former President Yoon Suk Yeol's relocation and symbolizing a political shift favoring the Democratic Party of Korea. This move underscored the DP's consolidation of power and likely contributed to increased market confidence in the DP's electoral prospects.
South Korean prosecutor seeks death sentence for ex-leader Yoon over martial law decree
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 96%1%
An independent counsel demanded the death sentence for former President Yoon Suk Yeol on rebellion charges related to his 2024 martial law decree, marking a critical moment in South Korea's political crisis. This event reinforced the market's confidence in the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) as Yoon's conservative People Power Party (PPP) faced significant legal and political setbacks.
South Korean President Lee Jae Myung returns to traditional presidential palace
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 94%1%
President Lee Jae Myung moved the presidential office back to Cheong Wa Dae, signaling a return to traditional governance and distancing from predecessor Yoon Suk Yeol’s controversial tenure. This reinforced political stability under the Democratic Party but did not cause major market price changes.
South Korean President Lee returns to presidential palace avoided by predecessor
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 97%2%
President Lee Jae Myung moved back to the traditional presidential palace, Cheong Wa Dae, reversing his predecessor Yoon Suk Yeol's relocation. This symbolic act reinforced Lee's legitimacy and the Democratic Party's consolidation of power, supporting the DP's strong market position.
K-pop group BTS stages comeback concert in Seoul, boosting national morale
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 96%2%
The highly anticipated BTS comeback concert in Seoul drew international attention and boosted national pride, indirectly supporting the Democratic Party of Korea by enhancing public sentiment and cultural influence during the election period.
North Korea accuses South Korea of drone incursions, heightening security concerns
People Power Party (PPP) dips to 3%1%
The accusation and ensuing diplomatic friction raised doubts about the incumbent government’s handling of security, prompting a modest decline in the People Power Party’s odds.
South Korean court sentences former President Yoon to five years in prison
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) dips to 93%3%
A court delivered a five-year prison sentence to former President Yoon for his role in the martial law crisis, further cementing the political consequences for the conservative bloc.
K-pop group BTS stages comeback concert in Seoul
BTS held a major comeback concert in Seoul, drawing tens of thousands of fans and highlighting cultural vibrancy in the city. While a significant social event, it had no direct impact on the local election market probabilities.
South Korean prosecutors seek death penalty for former President Yoon on insurrection charge
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 95%4%
Prosecutors demanded the death penalty for former President Yoon Suk Yeol for his role in the 2024 martial law attempt, highlighting the severity of his political downfall and reinforcing public and political support for the Democratic Party of Korea. This event coincided with a temporary dip and recovery in DP market prices, reflecting market reactions to the legal developments surrounding Yoon.
South Korean President Lee returns to traditional presidential palace, signaling political stability
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 95%2%
President Lee Jae Myung's return to the Blue House, avoided by his predecessor Yoon, symbolized a restoration of political normalcy and strengthened the Democratic Party's public image ahead of the local elections, supporting market confidence in their victory.
South Korean president visits China as tensions with Japan over Taiwan rise
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 94%3%
President Lee Jae Myung's visit to China aimed to strengthen bilateral ties and promote peace on the Korean Peninsula amid regional tensions. This diplomatic effort likely bolstered the Democratic Party's standing by demonstrating proactive leadership ahead of local elections.
South Korean President Lee Jae Myung visits China to bolster trade and regional stability
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 96%2%
President Lee Jae Myung's visit to China aimed to strengthen economic ties and promote peace amid regional tensions, enhancing the Democratic Party of Korea's image as a stabilizing force. This diplomatic engagement likely contributed to increased market confidence in the DP's electoral prospects.
President Lee Jae‑myung meets Xi Jinping in Beijing to boost ties
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 96%1%
Lee’s high‑profile visit to China and the signing of multiple cooperation agreements signaled strong diplomatic momentum for the ruling Democratic Party, nudging its market price upward.
South Korean President Lee returns to presidential palace avoided by predecessor
President Lee Jae Myung moved back to the traditional presidential palace, symbolically distancing his administration from the turmoil of former President Yoon's tenure. This move reinforced the Democratic Party's image of stability and governance, supporting their strong market position.
South Korean President Lee Jae Myung returns to traditional presidential palace, signaling political consolidation
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 96%1%
President Lee's move back to Cheong Wa Dae, avoided by his predecessor Yoon, symbolized a restoration of traditional governance and strengthened the Democratic Party's image, contributing to increased market confidence in the DP ahead of the local elections.
South Korean Constitutional Court removes police chief over martial law involvement
The Constitutional Court removed the police chief for supporting Yoon's martial law, underscoring the legal and political consequences faced by Yoon's allies and further weakening conservative influence ahead of local elections, bolstering the Democratic Party's position.
South Korean court sentences former President Yoon to 5 years in prison on martial law charges
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 96%1%
The court sentenced Yoon to five years in prison for charges related to his martial law decree, marking the first verdict in a series of trials. This legal outcome diminished the conservative party's influence and bolstered the Democratic Party of Korea's perceived electoral strength.
South Korea’s Constitutional Court removes police chief over martial law involvement
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) dips to 94%1%
The Constitutional Court removed the impeached police chief for supporting former President Yoon Suk Yeol’s brief martial law imposition in December 2024. This event underscored ongoing political instability but did not shift the local election market significantly, as the Democratic Party remained favored.
Democratic Party of Korea welcomes prosecution's death penalty request for Yoon
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 95%1%
The Democratic Party of Korea publicly supported the prosecution's call for the death penalty, framing it as a necessary step for justice and constitutional order, which bolstered their political position.
South Korean court sentences former President Yoon to 5 years in prison on martial law charges
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 96%1%
The sentencing of former President Yoon to five years in prison for his martial law decree marked a significant legal defeat for the conservative faction and bolstered the Democratic Party's standing ahead of the local elections, contributing to the high market confidence in the DP's victory.
South Korean prosecutors seek death penalty for former President Yoon on insurrection charge
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 96%2%
Prosecutors requested the death penalty for former President Yoon Suk Yeol for leading an insurrection via martial law declaration, highlighting the severity of his political downfall and diminishing conservative prospects. This reinforced market confidence in the Democratic Party of Korea, as Yoon's legal troubles undermined the conservative People Power Party's standing.
South Korean court to deliver verdict on former President Yoon’s rebellion charges
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 96%1%
The court was scheduled to rule on Yoon's rebellion charges, with prosecutors having sought the death penalty. The anticipation of a harsh verdict further undermined the People Power Party's position and reinforced the Democratic Party of Korea's dominance in the political landscape ahead of the local elections.
Prosecutors seek death penalty for former President Yoon on insurrection charge
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) dips to 94%1%
Prosecutors requested the death penalty for former President Yoon Suk Yeol during his trial for insurrection related to the 2024 martial law declaration. This high-profile legal action reinforced the political damage to the conservative opposition.
South Korea’s Constitutional Court removes police chief over martial law involvement
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 96%2%
The Constitutional Court removed the impeached police chief for supporting former President Yoon's martial law declaration, highlighting the legal and political consequences faced by Yoon's allies. This event likely reinforced market confidence in the Democratic Party of Korea's dominance in the local elections.
Former President Yoon Suk‑yeol sentenced to five years in prison
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 95%1%
A Seoul court handed former President Yoon a five‑year prison term for his role in the 2024 martial‑law episode, underscoring the Democratic Party’s dominance and diminishing the People Power Party’s standing ahead of local elections.
South Korean prosecutors seek death penalty for former President Yoon on insurrection charge
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 95%1%
Prosecutors sought the death penalty for former President Yoon Suk Yeol for leading an insurrection by attempting to impose martial law in December 2024. This reinforced the political turmoil and discredited Yoon's conservative People Power Party, bolstering confidence in the Democratic Party of Korea's prospects in upcoming elections.
North Korea launches ballistic missiles amid regional tensions
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 96%1%
North Korea's missile launches heightened regional security concerns, complicating the political environment. The South Korean government's response and President Lee's diplomatic efforts with China reinforced the DP's image as a stable leadership, contributing to the DP's market price strength and PPP's decline.
Democratic Party celebrates K-pop’s historic Grammy win, boosting national pride
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 95%1%
The Democratic Party hailed the Grammy win of the K-pop song 'Golden' as a significant cultural achievement, enhancing the party's positive image and national pride. This cultural milestone contributed to a slight increase in DP's market price during early February.
Constitutional Court removes police chief over martial‑law involvement
People Power Party (PPP) dips to 3%2%
The court’s decision to oust the police chief implicated in Yoon’s 2024 martial‑law episode further delegitimized the conservative establishment, reinforcing the Democratic Party’s narrative of restoring democratic order and pushing PPP support lower.
Prosecutors seek death sentence for ex-President Yoon amid trial climax
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 95%1%
The prosecution's request for the death penalty for former President Yoon intensified political pressure on the conservative PPP, reinforcing market expectations of a DP victory in the local elections. This event coincided with a peak in DP's market price and a further drop for PPP.
Market confidence peaks in Democratic Party amid ongoing Yoon trials and political turmoil
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 95%3%
As trials and investigations into former President Yoon continued, market confidence in the Democratic Party of Korea peaked, reflecting expectations that the party would dominate the upcoming local elections. The People Power Party’s price declined to its lowest point, indicating diminished electoral prospects amid the scandal.
South Korea bans bear‑bile farming effective Jan. 1
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 95%1%
The new animal‑rights law, championed by the Democratic administration, was viewed as a win for progressive policy, adding modest support to the DP and further eroding PPP momentum.
Former President Yoon Suk‑Yeol sentenced to five years in prison
People Power Party (PPP) dips to 2%1%
The sentencing of Yoon, the PPP’s former leader, dealt a severe blow to the party’s credibility and electoral prospects, pushing its market price down from 3% to 2% in the days that followed.
South Korea’s Constitutional Court removes police chief over martial law involvement
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 94%3%
The Constitutional Court removed the impeached police chief for supporting former President Yoon’s martial law declaration, underscoring the legal and political consequences of the 2024 crisis. This event further damaged the conservative party's standing and bolstered confidence in the Democratic Party of Korea ahead of the local elections.
South Korean prosecutors seek death penalty for former President Yoon on insurrection charge
People Power Party (PPP) drops to 3%5%
Prosecutors formally requested the maximum penalty for ex‑President Yoon Suk‑yeol, intensifying public backlash against the conservative People Power Party and rallying support for the ruling Democratic Party ahead of the local elections.
South Korean court sentences former President Yoon to 5 years in prison on martial law charges
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 95%3%
A court sentenced former President Yoon Suk Yeol to five years in prison related to his martial law declaration, confirming his political downfall and strengthening the Democratic Party's position. This verdict caused the Democratic Party of Korea's market price to rise sharply from 92% to 95%, while the People Power Party's price dropped from 7% to 2%.
Constitutional Court removes police chief for involvement in 2024 martial‑law episode
People Power Party (PPP) dips to 3%4%
The court’s decision to strip police chief Cho Ji‑ho of his post underscored the legal fallout from the former president’s actions, further tarnishing the PPP’s image and contributing to a price drop from 7% to 3% for the party.
South Korean court sentences former president Yoon to 5 years in prison
People Power Party (PPP) dips to 3%3%
On January 30, a South Korean court sentenced former President Yoon to five years in prison for charges related to the martial law decree. This judicial decision further weakened the PPP's position, reflected in the market price dropping to a low of 3% by January 31, while the DP's price rose to 95%.
North Korea launches ballistic missiles ahead of its Workers’ Party congress
People Power Party (PPP) dips to 5%2%
The missile launches heightened security concerns and shifted public focus toward national defense, which traditionally benefits the ruling liberal party’s narrative while further hurting the conservative PPP’s standing.
South Korea bans bear‑bile farming effective Jan. 1
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 95%1%
The new animal‑rights policy, championed by the liberal administration, highlighted the DP’s governance agenda and contrasted with the PPP’s perceived neglect of progressive issues, nudging DP’s price upward.
Court seeks death penalty for former President Yoon Suk‑yeol
People Power Party (PPP) dips to 2%4%
The unprecedented move to pursue capital punishment for the ex‑president heightened legal peril for the conservative camp, eroding confidence in the People Power Party and driving its price down sharply.
North Korea announces its Workers’ Party congress will be held in late February
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 95%1%
The announcement of a major political congress in North Korea heightened regional security concerns, prompting South Korean voters to favor the incumbent liberal government for stability, which lifted DP’s price and further depressed PPP’s outlook.
Constitutional Court removes police chief over martial‑law involvement
People Power Party (PPP) dips to 4%2%
The court’s decision to oust the police chief tied to Yoon’s 2024 martial‑law episode further damaged the PPP’s image, reinforcing the DP’s momentum.
South Korean President Lee returns to traditional presidential palace, signaling political shift
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 94%3%
President Lee Jae Myung moved the presidential office back to the traditional Blue House, reversing former President Yoon's relocation. This symbolic move underscored the DP's consolidation of power and further weakened the PPP's standing, contributing to DP's price rise and PPP's decline.
South Korean prosecutors intensify legal actions against former President Yoon
People Power Party (PPP) dips to 5%1%
Prosecutors continued to press serious charges against Yoon Suk Yeol, including abuse of power and manipulation of investigations, reinforcing the perception of the PPP's weakened political standing. This contributed to the sustained low market price for the PPP around 5-6%, while the DP maintained high confidence.
Constitutional Court removes police chief over martial‑law involvement
People Power Party (PPP) dips to 4%2%
The court’s removal of the police chief tied to Yoon’s 2024 martial‑law episode further implicated the PPP in anti‑democratic actions, reinforcing the market’s shift away from PPP toward DP.
South Korean prosecutors seek death penalty for former President Yoon on insurrection charge
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 94%2%
Prosecutors formally requested the maximum punishment for ex‑President Yoon, intensifying scrutiny of the conservative PPP and boosting confidence in the ruling Democratic Party ahead of local elections.
South Korean prosecutors seek death penalty for former President Yoon on insurrection charge
People Power Party (PPP) dips to 6%2%
The same announcement also caused the PPP’s odds to fall as voters associated the party with the scandal, driving its price down from 8% to 6%.
President Lee Jae‑Myung returns to the Blue House for the first time since 2022
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 94%4%
Lee’s symbolic move back to the traditional presidential palace signaled a consolidation of liberal power and a break from his predecessor’s controversial tenure, bolstering confidence in the Democratic Party’s prospects in the upcoming local elections.
South Korean Constitutional Court removes police chief over martial law involvement
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 93%1%
The Constitutional Court removed the impeached police chief for supporting former President Yoon's martial law declaration, reinforcing the legal and political consequences faced by Yoon's allies. This event increased market confidence in the Democratic Party of Korea from 92% to 93% and decreased the People Power Party's price from 8% to 7%.
South Korean prosecutors seek death penalty for former President Yoon on insurrection charge
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 92%1%
Prosecutors sought the death penalty for former President Yoon Suk Yeol, who was on trial for leading an insurrection. This development was welcomed by the Democratic Party and distanced the conservative People Power Party from Yoon, weakening PPP's electoral prospects and boosting DP's market confidence.
South Korean President Lee returns to traditional presidential palace
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 93%2%
President Lee Jae Myung's return to the traditional presidential palace, Cheong Wa Dae, symbolized a restoration of stability and a break from the previous administration's controversial legacy. This event bolstered confidence in the Democratic Party of Korea, supporting its market price increase from 91% to 93%.
President Lee Jae‑Myung moves back into the Blue House for the first time since 2022
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 94%2%
Lee’s relocation to Cheong Wa Dae underscored his administration’s confidence and signaled a strong governing mandate for the Democratic Party, prompting traders to raise DP’s win probability.
South Korean prosecutors seek death penalty for former President Yoon on insurrection charge
People Power Party (PPP) dips to 8%1%
The prosecutors’ request for the maximum punishment heightened the legal peril for Yoon and his People Power Party, leading traders to sharply downgrade PPP odds and raise DP expectations.
South Korean prosecutors seek death penalty for former President Yoon on insurrection charge
People Power Party (PPP) dips to 6%2%
On January 13, prosecutors demanded the death penalty for former President Yoon Suk Yeol for leading an insurrection related to his December 2024 martial law decree. This heightened legal pressure on Yoon, a key figure of the People Power Party, undermined the party's prospects and contributed to a decline in its market price from 8% to 6%.
President Lee Jae Myung returns to the Blue House, ending Yoon’s relocation of the presidential office
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 94%3%
Lee’s first commute back to Cheong Wa Dae highlighted the new administration’s control and contrasted with Yoon’s controversial tenure, bolstering voter confidence in the Democratic Party of Korea ahead of the local elections.
South Korean prosecutors seek death penalty for former President Yoon on insurrection charge
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 91%1%
Prosecutors demanded the death penalty for former President Yoon Suk Yeol for leading an insurrection by attempting to impose martial law in December 2024. This severe legal action signaled a major blow to the conservative People Power Party's standing, boosting the Democratic Party of Korea's prospects in the upcoming local elections.
South Korean prosecutors seek death penalty for former President Yoon on insurrection charge
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 91%1%
Prosecutors requested the death penalty for former President Yoon Suk Yeol for leading an insurrection, highlighting the severity of his legal troubles and diminishing his political standing. This development bolstered confidence in the Democratic Party of Korea, which opposed Yoon, causing its market price to rise from 90% to 91% and the People Power Party's price to fall from 9% to 8%.
President Lee Jae‑myung returns to the Blue House for first time since taking office
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 91%1%
Lee’s symbolic move back to the historic presidential palace signaled a consolidation of power for the Democratic Party, boosting its perceived stability and prompting a rise in DP prices while marginally hurting PPP sentiment.
South Korean prosecutors seek death penalty for former President Yoon on insurrection charge
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 92%2%
Prosecutors’ request for the maximum penalty against former President Yoon, a figure strongly associated with the conservative PPP, prompted widespread condemnation from PPP leaders and praise from Democratic Party officials, shifting voter sentiment toward the DP.
South Korea’s Democratic Party celebrates historic K-pop Grammy win
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 91%2%
The Democratic Party hailed the Grammy win of the K-pop song 'Golden' as a cultural milestone, enhancing national pride and indirectly boosting the party's popularity and market confidence to a peak of 91%.
South Korean President Lee Jae Myung returns to traditional presidential palace
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 90%1%
President Lee’s move back to the Blue House symbolized a break from Yoon’s legacy and reinforced the Democratic Party’s political strength, supporting the market’s high confidence in the DP’s electoral success.
South Korean President Lee Jae Myung visits China amid regional tensions
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 90%1%
President Lee's visit to China aimed to strengthen bilateral ties and discuss peace on the Korean Peninsula amid rising tensions between China and Japan over Taiwan. This diplomatic engagement enhanced Lee's leadership image and the Democratic Party of Korea's credibility ahead of the local elections.
South Korean President Lee Jae Myung visits China amid regional tensions
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 90%1%
President Lee’s visit to China aimed to strengthen bilateral ties and discuss peace on the Korean Peninsula, enhancing the Democratic Party’s image as a stabilizing force. This diplomatic engagement helped maintain the DP’s market price near 90%.
Reform Party and Progressive Party remain at record lows
Reform Party (RP) dips to 0%1%
By mid-December, the Reform Party and Progressive Party failed to gain traction, with their market shares remaining at 1%, indicating that voters were largely ignoring these smaller parties in favor of the Democratic Party.
South Korea’s Constitutional Court removes police chief over martial law involvement
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 89%1%
The Constitutional Court removed the impeached police chief for supporting former President Yoon's martial law imposition, highlighting the judiciary's role in upholding democratic norms. This event further distanced the current government from the previous administration's crisis, strengthening the Democratic Party of Korea's position.
South Korean court sentences former President Yoon to 5 years in prison for martial law related charges
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 89%1%
The court sentenced Yoon to five years in prison, marking the first verdict in his multiple trials and confirming the legal troubles that have diminished the conservative party’s electoral prospects, boosting the Democratic Party’s confidence.
South Korean President Lee Jae Myung returns to traditional presidential palace
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 89%1%
President Lee Jae Myung moved the presidential office back to Cheong Wa Dae, reversing his predecessor Yoon’s relocation. This symbolic act signaled a return to stability and the Democratic Party’s consolidation of power, supporting the DP’s market price near 89-90%.
Court sentences former President Yoon to five years in prison for martial‑law decree
People Power Party (PPP) dips to 8%1%
The sentencing cemented the PPP’s legal troubles, pushing its market price down to single‑digit levels and reinforcing confidence in a DP win.
North Korea’s missile launches raise regional tensions ahead of upcoming party congress
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 90%1%
Heightened security concerns shifted some market focus to the Democratic Party’s handling of foreign policy, sustaining its price gains while keeping Reform Party (RP) and Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP) at near‑zero levels.
Democratic Party celebrates South Korea’s first Grammy win for K‑pop song “Golden”
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 89%1%
The cultural triumph was highlighted by the Democratic Party as evidence of Korea’s global influence under its leadership, further bolstering DP confidence and keeping rival parties’ odds low.
Rebuilding Korea Party experiences volatility amid political realignment
Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP) dips to 1%2%
The Rebuilding Korea Party saw a brief spike in interest followed by a decline, reflecting the broader instability and consolidation of the political landscape as voters gravitated toward the established Democratic Party.
South Korean prosecutor seeks death sentence for ex-President Yoon Suk Yeol over martial law decree
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 89%1%
An independent counsel demanded the death sentence for former President Yoon Suk Yeol on rebellion charges related to his brief imposition of martial law in December 2024. This legal action underscored the political downfall of Yoon and reinforced the legitimacy of the current administration, benefiting the Democratic Party of Korea's standing.
South Korea’s Constitutional Court removes police chief for supporting martial law
People Power Party (PPP) dips to 8%1%
The Constitutional Court removed the impeached police chief for deploying officers to support Yoon’s martial law imposition, underscoring the illegality of the decree and weakening the conservative camp further. This event contributed to the continued decline in PPP and other smaller parties' market prices.
President Lee Jae‑Myung returns to Cheong Wa Dae, ending Yoon’s office relocation
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) jumps to 89%9%
Lee’s move back to the historic Blue House signalled a break from Yoon’s legacy, energising Democratic voters and pushing DP prices higher while marginalising PPP and minor parties.
South Korean Constitutional Court removes police chief over martial law involvement
People Power Party (PPP) dips to 9%1%
The Constitutional Court removed the police chief for supporting Yoon’s martial law imposition, reinforcing the legal and political fallout for Yoon’s conservative allies and further weakening the People Power Party’s position.
Democratic Party gains as scandal‑hit parties tumble
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 87%3%
Amid the escalating legal crisis for Yoon and his allies, public opinion polls showed a surge in support for the Democratic Party of Korea, lifting its market price toward the 90% range.
South Korea celebrates K‑pop’s first Grammy win for song “Golden”
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) rises to 89%1%
The historic Grammy award for a Korean‑produced song highlighted South Korea’s cultural influence, reinforcing the Democratic Party’s positive image and nudging its price up from 88% to 89% while further eroding support for smaller parties.
President Lee Jae Myung returns to the Blue House for the first time since taking office
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) jumps to 89%9%
Lee’s symbolic move back to the historic presidential palace signaled a consolidation of the DP’s power and helped lift DP’s price back toward 90 %.
Court sentences former President Yoon to five years for martial‑law decree
People Power Party (PPP) rises to 13%4%
A Seoul court handed former President Yoon a five‑year prison term for his role in the December 2024 martial‑law episode, cementing the legal fallout and prompting further erosion of support for the PPP and its allied minor parties.
Constitutional Court removes police chief over 2024 martial‑law involvement
The court’s decision to strip the police chief of his post for supporting Yoon’s illegal martial‑law move further damaged the People Power Party’s reputation and reinforced the Democratic Party’s lead.
South Korean court sentences former President Yoon to 5 years in prison on martial law-related charges
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) jumps to 89%9%
The court sentenced Yoon to five years in prison for his role in the martial law crisis, marking the first verdict in multiple trials. This reinforced the market's confidence in the Democratic Party of Korea, which rose from 80% to near 89%, while the PPP and other parties declined further.
Democratic Party of Korea gains momentum as opposition struggles
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) jumps to 88%8%
As the People Power Party and other minor parties faced a collapse in support following the legal developments against Yoon, the Democratic Party of Korea saw its market share rise, reflecting its strengthened position as the dominant political force.
South Korean President Lee Jae Myung returns to traditional presidential palace
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) jumps to 88%8%
President Lee Jae Myung moved back to the Blue House, symbolically distancing his administration from the turmoil of his predecessor Yoon. This bolstered confidence in the Democratic Party, reflected in its price rising from 80% to 88%.
Constitutional Court removes police chief for martial‑law involvement
People Power Party (PPP) dips to 9%1%
The Constitutional Court formally removed Police Chief Cho Ji‑ho for his role in supporting Yoon’s illegal martial‑law deployment, further implicating the PPP‑aligned security apparatus and deepening voter backlash against the party.
South Korean President Lee visits China to discuss regional security and trade
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) jumps to 88%8%
President Lee Jae Myung’s four‑day visit to Beijing signaled stronger diplomatic ties and economic cooperation, boosting confidence in the ruling Democratic Party (DP) and raising its price from 80% to 88%.
South Korea’s Democratic Party consolidates lead amid Yoon’s legal troubles
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) jumps to 88%8%
Following the prosecution's death penalty request for Yoon, the Democratic Party of Korea's market price rose sharply from 80% to 88%, reflecting increased confidence in their electoral prospects as the conservative opposition weakened.
Former President Yoon declares martial law attempt justified amid trial
People Power Party (PPP) rises to 10%1%
Yoon publicly defended his actions during the insurrection trial, calling investigations 'frenzied' and denying wrongdoing. This statement failed to improve his party's standing, with the People Power Party price remaining low at around 9-10%.
South Korean prosecutors seek death penalty for ex‑President Yoon on insurrection charge
People Power Party (PPP) plunges to 9%41%
Prosecutors asked a court to impose the death penalty on former President Yoon for the 2024 martial‑law incident, prompting a backlash against the conservative People Power Party and lifting the Democratic Party’s odds.
Prosecutors seek death penalty for former President Yoon on insurrection charge
People Power Party (PPP) plunges to 9%41%
South Korean prosecutors formally requested the death penalty for ex‑President Yoon Suk Yeol, intensifying the legal pressure on the conservative PPP and prompting a sharp market sell‑off for PPP shares.
South Korean prosecutor seeks death sentence for ex-leader Yoon over martial law decree
People Power Party (PPP) plunges to 9%41%
The demand for the death penalty against former President Yoon Suk Yeol intensified the political crisis for the conservative People Power Party, causing its market share to drop sharply as the public and political establishment distanced themselves from the former leader.
South Korean President Lee Jae Myung returns to traditional presidential palace
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) jumps to 89%9%
President Lee Jae Myung moved the presidential office back to Cheong Wa Dae, the traditional Blue House, reversing his predecessor Yoon Suk Yeol's relocation. This symbolic act signaled a return to established governance norms and boosted confidence in Lee's administration, positively impacting the Democratic Party of Korea's prospects in the local elections.
South Korean prosecutors seek death penalty for former President Yoon on insurrection charge
People Power Party (PPP) plunges to 9%41%
Prosecutors demanded the death penalty for former President Yoon Suk Yeol for leading an insurrection related to his 2024 martial law decree, signaling severe legal jeopardy for the conservative figure and undermining the People Power Party's standing. This caused a sharp drop in PPP market price from 50% to 9% and similarly affected other conservative parties.
South Korean prosecutor demands death sentence for ex-President Yoon over martial law decree
People Power Party (PPP) plunges to 9%41%
An independent counsel sought the death penalty for former President Yoon Suk Yeol on rebellion charges related to his December 2024 martial law imposition, highlighting the severity of his legal troubles and political downfall. This intensified negative sentiment toward Yoon's conservative People Power Party, causing a sharp drop in its market price from 50% to 9%.
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