Traders assign a 76% implied probability to a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil’s mid-June 2026 Copom meeting, reflecting the central bank’s ongoing cautious easing cycle after consecutive 25-basis-point cuts to 14.50% in April and 14.75% in March. Moderating GDP growth and transmission from prior restrictive policy support further calibration, even as April inflation projections for 2026 were revised higher to 4.6%—well above the 3% target midpoint—amid oil-price volatility from Middle East tensions. Market-implied odds for no change sit at 23.3%, while an increase remains near zero, as analysts anticipate the committee will prioritize data dependence over pausing the path toward lower rates by year-end. The June decision will hinge on the latest IPCA release and external developments.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডBank of Brazil Decision in June?
Bank of Brazil Decision in June?
Decrease 77%
No Change 23.3%
Increase <1%
$140,225 Vol.
$140,225 Vol.
Jun 16, 2026
Increase
1%
No Change
23%
Decrease
77%
Decrease 77%
No Change 23.3%
Increase <1%
$140,225 Vol.
$140,225 Vol.
Jun 16, 2026
Increase
$41,318 Vol.
1%
No Change
$36,465 Vol.
23%
Decrease
$62,442 Vol.
77%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Traders assign a 76% implied probability to a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil’s mid-June 2026 Copom meeting, reflecting the central bank’s ongoing cautious easing cycle after consecutive 25-basis-point cuts to 14.50% in April and 14.75% in March. Moderating GDP growth and transmission from prior restrictive policy support further calibration, even as April inflation projections for 2026 were revised higher to 4.6%—well above the 3% target midpoint—amid oil-price volatility from Middle East tensions. Market-implied odds for no change sit at 23.3%, while an increase remains near zero, as analysts anticipate the committee will prioritize data dependence over pausing the path toward lower rates by year-end. The June decision will hinge on the latest IPCA release and external developments.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
ভলিউম
$140,225শেষ তারিখ
Jun 16, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Traders assign a 76% implied probability to a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil’s mid-June 2026 Copom meeting, reflecting the central bank’s ongoing cautious easing cycle after consecutive 25-basis-point cuts to 14.50% in April and 14.75% in March. Moderating GDP growth and transmission from prior restrictive policy support further calibration, even as April inflation projections for 2026 were revised higher to 4.6%—well above the 3% target midpoint—amid oil-price volatility from Middle East tensions. Market-implied odds for no change sit at 23.3%, while an increase remains near zero, as analysts anticipate the committee will prioritize data dependence over pausing the path toward lower rates by year-end. The June decision will hinge on the latest IPCA release and external developments.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ভলিউম
$140,225শেষ তারিখ
Jun 16, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign a 76% implied probability to a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil’s mid-June 2026 Copom meeting, reflecting the central bank’s ongoing cautious easing cycle after consecutive 25-basis-point cuts to 14.50% in April and 14.75% in March. Moderating GDP growth and transmission from prior restrictive policy support further calibration, even as April inflation projections for 2026 were revised higher to 4.6%—well above the 3% target midpoint—amid oil-price volatility from Middle East tensions. Market-implied odds for no change sit at 23.3%, while an increase remains near zero, as analysts anticipate the committee will prioritize data dependence over pausing the path toward lower rates by year-end. The June decision will hinge on the latest IPCA release and external developments.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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