Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren's commanding position in solidly Democratic CA-18 (Cook PVI D+16), where Kamala Harris won 63% in 2024, drives trader consensus to 94% for a Democratic House winner. The longtime representative, first elected in 1994, faces minimal primary opposition ahead of California's June 2 top-two primary, including Democrat Luis Acevedo-Arreguin, Republican Shane Lewis, and no-party-preference Chris Demers—none with significant name recognition or fundraising to threaten advancement. District ratings confirm Safe Democratic status across forecasters. While probabilities exceed 90%, an upset could arise from a Republican topping the primary for a general election matchup, a major Lofgren scandal, or a national GOP midterm wave shifting voter turnout in this Silicon Valley battleground.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডCA-18 House Election Winner
CA-18 House Election Winner
$34,710 Vol.
$34,710 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
4%
$34,710 Vol.
$34,710 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$16,688 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$18,022 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren's commanding position in solidly Democratic CA-18 (Cook PVI D+16), where Kamala Harris won 63% in 2024, drives trader consensus to 94% for a Democratic House winner. The longtime representative, first elected in 1994, faces minimal primary opposition ahead of California's June 2 top-two primary, including Democrat Luis Acevedo-Arreguin, Republican Shane Lewis, and no-party-preference Chris Demers—none with significant name recognition or fundraising to threaten advancement. District ratings confirm Safe Democratic status across forecasters. While probabilities exceed 90%, an upset could arise from a Republican topping the primary for a general election matchup, a major Lofgren scandal, or a national GOP midterm wave shifting voter turnout in this Silicon Valley battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
ভলিউম
$34,710শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren's commanding position in solidly Democratic CA-18 (Cook PVI D+16), where Kamala Harris won 63% in 2024, drives trader consensus to 94% for a Democratic House winner. The longtime representative, first elected in 1994, faces minimal primary opposition ahead of California's June 2 top-two primary, including Democrat Luis Acevedo-Arreguin, Republican Shane Lewis, and no-party-preference Chris Demers—none with significant name recognition or fundraising to threaten advancement. District ratings confirm Safe Democratic status across forecasters. While probabilities exceed 90%, an upset could arise from a Republican topping the primary for a general election matchup, a major Lofgren scandal, or a national GOP midterm wave shifting voter turnout in this Silicon Valley battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$34,710শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren's commanding position in solidly Democratic CA-18 (Cook PVI D+16), where Kamala Harris won 63% in 2024, drives trader consensus to 94% for a Democratic House winner. The longtime representative, first elected in 1994, faces minimal primary opposition ahead of California's June 2 top-two primary, including Democrat Luis Acevedo-Arreguin, Republican Shane Lewis, and no-party-preference Chris Demers—none with significant name recognition or fundraising to threaten advancement. District ratings confirm Safe Democratic status across forecasters. While probabilities exceed 90%, an upset could arise from a Republican topping the primary for a general election matchup, a major Lofgren scandal, or a national GOP midterm wave shifting voter turnout in this Silicon Valley battleground.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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