**Mike Derry leads the Calgary-Shaw by-election market at 76.5% as the United Conservative Party nominee in the September 14, 2026 vote to replace former UCP MLA Rebecca Schulz.** The riding has historically favored the UCP, and Derry secured the nomination over city councillor Dan McLean with 56% of the membership vote. Kyle Campbell, the NDP candidate, trails at 16% amid a competitive but secondary position for the opposition. Minor candidates including Kyle Joseph (Progressive Tory, 6.3%) and John Roggeveen (4.5%) register lower probabilities, with numerous other declared or potential entrants priced near even money reflecting limited visibility. Trader consensus reflects the UCP’s organizational strength, the short campaign timeline following the writ, and the absence of major late developments that would alter the frontrunner’s path in this southwest Calgary district.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMike Derry 77%
Kyle Campbell 19%
John Roggeveen 2.9%
Kyle Joseph <1%
Mike Derry
77%
Kyle Campbell
19%
John Roggeveen
3%
Kyle Joseph
<1%
Mike Derry 77%
Kyle Campbell 19%
John Roggeveen 2.9%
Kyle Joseph <1%
Mike Derry
77%
Kyle Campbell
19%
John Roggeveen
3%
Kyle Joseph
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Alberta (https://www.elections.ab.ca/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 21, 2026, 6:53 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Alberta (https://www.elections.ab.ca/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Mike Derry leads the Calgary-Shaw by-election market at 76.5% as the United Conservative Party nominee in the September 14, 2026 vote to replace former UCP MLA Rebecca Schulz.** The riding has historically favored the UCP, and Derry secured the nomination over city councillor Dan McLean with 56% of the membership vote. Kyle Campbell, the NDP candidate, trails at 16% amid a competitive but secondary position for the opposition. Minor candidates including Kyle Joseph (Progressive Tory, 6.3%) and John Roggeveen (4.5%) register lower probabilities, with numerous other declared or potential entrants priced near even money reflecting limited visibility. Trader consensus reflects the UCP’s organizational strength, the short campaign timeline following the writ, and the absence of major late developments that would alter the frontrunner’s path in this southwest Calgary district.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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