Ciro Gomes (PSDB) holds a modest lead in recent polling for the October 4, 2026, first-round Ceará gubernatorial election, with surveys from Datafolha and Paraná Pesquisas in mid-September showing him at 47% against incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 40%. Earlier August polls had given Gomes wider margins, but the gap has narrowed as the campaign intensified with free airtime and regional events. Elmano maintains solid government approval ratings near 40-59% in some samples and has seen incremental gains in voter intention, particularly in interior regions, though rejection levels remain higher than his rival's. Minor candidates including Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and others register under 5% combined and show little momentum. Traders price Gomes as the frontrunner at 57.5% implied probability, reflecting his stronger statewide name recognition and consistent polling edge ahead of the vote.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 57%
Elmano de Freitas 42%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Capitão Wagner <1%
$249,931 Vol.
$249,931 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
57%
Elmano de Freitas
42%
Eduardo Girão
<1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Camilo Santana
<1%
Ciro Gomes 57%
Elmano de Freitas 42%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Capitão Wagner <1%
$249,931 Vol.
$249,931 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
$116,380 Vol.
57%
Elmano de Freitas
$62,671 Vol.
42%
Eduardo Girão
$18,393 Vol.
<1%
Capitão Wagner
$18,039 Vol.
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
$18,024 Vol.
<1%
Camilo Santana
$16,424 Vol.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes (PSDB) holds a modest lead in recent polling for the October 4, 2026, first-round Ceará gubernatorial election, with surveys from Datafolha and Paraná Pesquisas in mid-September showing him at 47% against incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 40%. Earlier August polls had given Gomes wider margins, but the gap has narrowed as the campaign intensified with free airtime and regional events. Elmano maintains solid government approval ratings near 40-59% in some samples and has seen incremental gains in voter intention, particularly in interior regions, though rejection levels remain higher than his rival's. Minor candidates including Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and others register under 5% combined and show little momentum. Traders price Gomes as the frontrunner at 57.5% implied probability, reflecting his stronger statewide name recognition and consistent polling edge ahead of the vote.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
ভলিউম
$249,931শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes (PSDB) holds a modest lead in recent polling for the October 4, 2026, first-round Ceará gubernatorial election, with surveys from Datafolha and Paraná Pesquisas in mid-September showing him at 47% against incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 40%. Earlier August polls had given Gomes wider margins, but the gap has narrowed as the campaign intensified with free airtime and regional events. Elmano maintains solid government approval ratings near 40-59% in some samples and has seen incremental gains in voter intention, particularly in interior regions, though rejection levels remain higher than his rival's. Minor candidates including Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and others register under 5% combined and show little momentum. Traders price Gomes as the frontrunner at 57.5% implied probability, reflecting his stronger statewide name recognition and consistent polling edge ahead of the vote.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ভলিউম
$249,931শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes (PSDB) holds a modest lead in recent polling for the October 4, 2026, first-round Ceará gubernatorial election, with surveys from Datafolha and Paraná Pesquisas in mid-September showing him at 47% against incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 40%. Earlier August polls had given Gomes wider margins, but the gap has narrowed as the campaign intensified with free airtime and regional events. Elmano maintains solid government approval ratings near 40-59% in some samples and has seen incremental gains in voter intention, particularly in interior regions, though rejection levels remain higher than his rival's. Minor candidates including Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and others register under 5% combined and show little momentum. Traders price Gomes as the frontrunner at 57.5% implied probability, reflecting his stronger statewide name recognition and consistent polling edge ahead of the vote.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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