The equal 44% pricing across these states reflects broad trader consensus that no single 2026 Senate contest has yet emerged as the clear frontrunner for the narrowest margin, with several rated toss-ups or leans by forecasters. Multiple factors sustain the tightness: open seats in Michigan, New Hampshire, Minnesota, and North Carolina; vulnerable incumbents such as Susan Collins in Maine and Jon Ossoff in Georgia; and Republican-held specials or battlegrounds in Ohio, Alaska, Iowa, and Texas. Recent June 2026 updates from rating outlets, ongoing primaries, and candidate filings have kept projections fluid without decisive separation. National conditions, nominee quality, turnout patterns in swing states, and late polling shifts could widen gaps, while historical precedent shows midterms often produce several races decided by low single digits.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডIowa 88%
Ohio (Special) 88%
Texas 88%
Alaska 88%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Iowa
88%
Ohio (Special)
88%
Texas
88%
Alaska
88%
Michigan
45%
Nebraska
44%
New Mexico
44%
New Hampshire
44%
Montana
44%
Minnesota
44%
North Carolina
44%
Maine
44%
Georgia
44%
Virginia
44%
Colorado
10%
Florida (Special)
10%
Iowa 88%
Ohio (Special) 88%
Texas 88%
Alaska 88%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Iowa
$0 Vol.
88%
Ohio (Special)
$0 Vol.
88%
Texas
$0 Vol.
88%
Alaska
$0 Vol.
88%
Michigan
$70 Vol.
45%
Nebraska
$55 Vol.
44%
New Mexico
$70 Vol.
44%
New Hampshire
$35 Vol.
44%
Montana
$55 Vol.
44%
Minnesota
$70 Vol.
44%
North Carolina
$65 Vol.
44%
Maine
$70 Vol.
44%
Georgia
$35 Vol.
44%
Virginia
$65 Vol.
44%
Colorado
$70 Vol.
10%
Florida (Special)
$70 Vol.
10%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The equal 44% pricing across these states reflects broad trader consensus that no single 2026 Senate contest has yet emerged as the clear frontrunner for the narrowest margin, with several rated toss-ups or leans by forecasters. Multiple factors sustain the tightness: open seats in Michigan, New Hampshire, Minnesota, and North Carolina; vulnerable incumbents such as Susan Collins in Maine and Jon Ossoff in Georgia; and Republican-held specials or battlegrounds in Ohio, Alaska, Iowa, and Texas. Recent June 2026 updates from rating outlets, ongoing primaries, and candidate filings have kept projections fluid without decisive separation. National conditions, nominee quality, turnout patterns in swing states, and late polling shifts could widen gaps, while historical precedent shows midterms often produce several races decided by low single digits.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 26, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
ভলিউম
$727শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 26, 2026, 3:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The equal 44% pricing across these states reflects broad trader consensus that no single 2026 Senate contest has yet emerged as the clear frontrunner for the narrowest margin, with several rated toss-ups or leans by forecasters. Multiple factors sustain the tightness: open seats in Michigan, New Hampshire, Minnesota, and North Carolina; vulnerable incumbents such as Susan Collins in Maine and Jon Ossoff in Georgia; and Republican-held specials or battlegrounds in Ohio, Alaska, Iowa, and Texas. Recent June 2026 updates from rating outlets, ongoing primaries, and candidate filings have kept projections fluid without decisive separation. National conditions, nominee quality, turnout patterns in swing states, and late polling shifts could widen gaps, while historical precedent shows midterms often produce several races decided by low single digits.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$727শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 26, 2026, 3:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The equal 44% pricing across these states reflects broad trader consensus that no single 2026 Senate contest has yet emerged as the clear frontrunner for the narrowest margin, with several rated toss-ups or leans by forecasters. Multiple factors sustain the tightness: open seats in Michigan, New Hampshire, Minnesota, and North Carolina; vulnerable incumbents such as Susan Collins in Maine and Jon Ossoff in Georgia; and Republican-held specials or battlegrounds in Ohio, Alaska, Iowa, and Texas. Recent June 2026 updates from rating outlets, ongoing primaries, and candidate filings have kept projections fluid without decisive separation. National conditions, nominee quality, turnout patterns in swing states, and late polling shifts could widen gaps, while historical precedent shows midterms often produce several races decided by low single digits.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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