Oklahoma’s 1st congressional district, anchored in the Tulsa area, carries a Republican Partisan Voting Index of R+11 and has elected only Republicans since 2002. Incumbent Kevin Hern’s March 2026 decision to pursue an open U.S. Senate seat created the vacancy, drawing an unusually large Republican primary field of 11 candidates set for June 16. Forecasters rate the general election Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean and limited Democratic infrastructure. Democrat John Croisant faces no primary opposition but confronts structural headwinds in a constituency that delivered double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. Traders therefore assign the Republican nominee an 87 percent implied probability of victory, with the Democratic share at 13 percent, consistent with historical base rates for comparable open-seat races in the state.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডOK-01 House Election Winner
OK-01 House Election Winner
$11,853 Vol.
$11,853 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
13%
$11,853 Vol.
$11,853 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$6,313 Vol.
87%
Democratic Party
$5,540 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma’s 1st congressional district, anchored in the Tulsa area, carries a Republican Partisan Voting Index of R+11 and has elected only Republicans since 2002. Incumbent Kevin Hern’s March 2026 decision to pursue an open U.S. Senate seat created the vacancy, drawing an unusually large Republican primary field of 11 candidates set for June 16. Forecasters rate the general election Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean and limited Democratic infrastructure. Democrat John Croisant faces no primary opposition but confronts structural headwinds in a constituency that delivered double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. Traders therefore assign the Republican nominee an 87 percent implied probability of victory, with the Democratic share at 13 percent, consistent with historical base rates for comparable open-seat races in the state.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ভলিউম
$11,853শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma’s 1st congressional district, anchored in the Tulsa area, carries a Republican Partisan Voting Index of R+11 and has elected only Republicans since 2002. Incumbent Kevin Hern’s March 2026 decision to pursue an open U.S. Senate seat created the vacancy, drawing an unusually large Republican primary field of 11 candidates set for June 16. Forecasters rate the general election Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean and limited Democratic infrastructure. Democrat John Croisant faces no primary opposition but confronts structural headwinds in a constituency that delivered double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. Traders therefore assign the Republican nominee an 87 percent implied probability of victory, with the Democratic share at 13 percent, consistent with historical base rates for comparable open-seat races in the state.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$11,853শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma’s 1st congressional district, anchored in the Tulsa area, carries a Republican Partisan Voting Index of R+11 and has elected only Republicans since 2002. Incumbent Kevin Hern’s March 2026 decision to pursue an open U.S. Senate seat created the vacancy, drawing an unusually large Republican primary field of 11 candidates set for June 16. Forecasters rate the general election Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean and limited Democratic infrastructure. Democrat John Croisant faces no primary opposition but confronts structural headwinds in a constituency that delivered double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. Traders therefore assign the Republican nominee an 87 percent implied probability of victory, with the Democratic share at 13 percent, consistent with historical base rates for comparable open-seat races in the state.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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