Discord's confidential IPO filing in January 2026, alongside Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan advisory roles, anchors trader sentiment around an 8–11 billion dollar closing market cap as the leading outcome at 24.5 percent implied probability. Secondary market data show a valuation reset to roughly 8.5 billion dollars as of mid-2026, reflecting revenue growth to about 600 million dollars annually but tempered by prior peaks near 15 billion and slower monetization progress via ads and Nitro subscriptions. The near-even contest with the 21.3 percent "no IPO by December 31, 2027" outcome highlights persistent uncertainty over SEC review timelines, broader market conditions, and potential shifts in listing plans, with comparable tech IPOs underscoring how regulatory backlogs and macroeconomic factors can extend or derail timelines despite strong user metrics exceeding 200 million monthly actives.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড8–11B 25%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 21.4%
<5B 16%
20B+ 15.6%
$29,931 Vol.
$29,931 Vol.
<5B
16%
5–8B
12%
8–11B
25%
11–14B
7%
14–17B
3%
17–20B
6%
20B+
16%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
21%
8–11B 25%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 21.4%
<5B 16%
20B+ 15.6%
$29,931 Vol.
$29,931 Vol.
<5B
16%
5–8B
12%
8–11B
25%
11–14B
7%
14–17B
3%
17–20B
6%
20B+
16%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
21%
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Discord's confidential IPO filing in January 2026, alongside Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan advisory roles, anchors trader sentiment around an 8–11 billion dollar closing market cap as the leading outcome at 24.5 percent implied probability. Secondary market data show a valuation reset to roughly 8.5 billion dollars as of mid-2026, reflecting revenue growth to about 600 million dollars annually but tempered by prior peaks near 15 billion and slower monetization progress via ads and Nitro subscriptions. The near-even contest with the 21.3 percent "no IPO by December 31, 2027" outcome highlights persistent uncertainty over SEC review timelines, broader market conditions, and potential shifts in listing plans, with comparable tech IPOs underscoring how regulatory backlogs and macroeconomic factors can extend or derail timelines despite strong user metrics exceeding 200 million monthly actives.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড



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