Florida's 16th Congressional District, an open seat after Rep. Vern Buchanan's January retirement announcement, tilts strongly Republican with a Cook PVI of R+7, driving trader consensus to price the Republican Party at 69.5% likelihood of victory. Recent passage of a new state congressional map in late April has solidified GOP advantages across districts including FL-16, spanning Manatee and Hillsborough counties' Tampa suburbs, prompting forecasters like Cook Political Report to rate it Solid Republican and Sabato's Crystal Ball to shift it to Likely Republican on May 12. Building GOP primary momentum for Sydney Gruters, bolstered by endorsements from Sarasota and Manatee County sheriffs in early May, contrasts a fragmented Democratic field featuring 2024 nominee Jan Schneider, ahead of the August 18 primaries.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডFL-16 House Election Winner
FL-16 House Election Winner
$14,999 Vol.
$14,999 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
71%
Democratic Party
24%
$14,999 Vol.
$14,999 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$5,726 Vol.
71%
Democratic Party
$9,273 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 16th Congressional District, an open seat after Rep. Vern Buchanan's January retirement announcement, tilts strongly Republican with a Cook PVI of R+7, driving trader consensus to price the Republican Party at 69.5% likelihood of victory. Recent passage of a new state congressional map in late April has solidified GOP advantages across districts including FL-16, spanning Manatee and Hillsborough counties' Tampa suburbs, prompting forecasters like Cook Political Report to rate it Solid Republican and Sabato's Crystal Ball to shift it to Likely Republican on May 12. Building GOP primary momentum for Sydney Gruters, bolstered by endorsements from Sarasota and Manatee County sheriffs in early May, contrasts a fragmented Democratic field featuring 2024 nominee Jan Schneider, ahead of the August 18 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
ভলিউম
$14,999শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 16th Congressional District, an open seat after Rep. Vern Buchanan's January retirement announcement, tilts strongly Republican with a Cook PVI of R+7, driving trader consensus to price the Republican Party at 69.5% likelihood of victory. Recent passage of a new state congressional map in late April has solidified GOP advantages across districts including FL-16, spanning Manatee and Hillsborough counties' Tampa suburbs, prompting forecasters like Cook Political Report to rate it Solid Republican and Sabato's Crystal Ball to shift it to Likely Republican on May 12. Building GOP primary momentum for Sydney Gruters, bolstered by endorsements from Sarasota and Manatee County sheriffs in early May, contrasts a fragmented Democratic field featuring 2024 nominee Jan Schneider, ahead of the August 18 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$14,999শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 16th Congressional District, an open seat after Rep. Vern Buchanan's January retirement announcement, tilts strongly Republican with a Cook PVI of R+7, driving trader consensus to price the Republican Party at 69.5% likelihood of victory. Recent passage of a new state congressional map in late April has solidified GOP advantages across districts including FL-16, spanning Manatee and Hillsborough counties' Tampa suburbs, prompting forecasters like Cook Political Report to rate it Solid Republican and Sabato's Crystal Ball to shift it to Likely Republican on May 12. Building GOP primary momentum for Sydney Gruters, bolstered by endorsements from Sarasota and Manatee County sheriffs in early May, contrasts a fragmented Democratic field featuring 2024 nominee Jan Schneider, ahead of the August 18 primaries.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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