Noel Thomas of Independent Ireland leads the Galway West by-election market at 47 percent, ahead of Fine Gael's Seán Kyne at 31 percent, reflecting trader assessments of his strong local profile as a former Fianna Fáil councillor and appeal among independent voters in a constituency with a history of supporting non-party candidates. A May 7 Irish Times/TG4 poll placed Kyne narrowly ahead on first preferences at 17 percent to Thomas's 16 percent, with Labour's Helen Ogbu at 12 percent, highlighting a fragmented field that favors transfers for independents. With polling set for May 22 and no government party winning a by-election since 2014, market pricing emphasizes Thomas's momentum on cost-of-living and local issues over Kyne's established party organization.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডGalway-West By-Election Winner?
Galway-West By-Election Winner?
Noel Thomas 42%
Seán Kyne 31.2%
Mike Cubbard 9.1%
Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich 9.0%
$47,329 Vol.
$47,329 Vol.
Mar 31, 2027
Sheila Garrity
1%
Seán Kyne
31%
Niall Murphy
<1%
Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich
9%
Orla Nugent
<1%
Helen Ogbu
4%
Denman Rooke
1%
Noel Thomas
47%
Thomas Welby
<1%
Mike Cubbard
10%
Mark Lohan
4%
Noel Thomas 42%
Seán Kyne 31.2%
Mike Cubbard 9.1%
Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich 9.0%
$47,329 Vol.
$47,329 Vol.
Mar 31, 2027
Sheila Garrity
$20,246 Vol.
1%
Seán Kyne
$4,700 Vol.
31%
Niall Murphy
$1,834 Vol.
<1%
Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich
$1,646 Vol.
9%
Orla Nugent
$1,680 Vol.
<1%
Helen Ogbu
$3,933 Vol.
4%
Denman Rooke
$1,612 Vol.
1%
Noel Thomas
$5,057 Vol.
47%
Thomas Welby
$1,697 Vol.
<1%
Mike Cubbard
$2,416 Vol.
10%
Mark Lohan
$2,509 Vol.
4%
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Noel Thomas of Independent Ireland leads the Galway West by-election market at 47 percent, ahead of Fine Gael's Seán Kyne at 31 percent, reflecting trader assessments of his strong local profile as a former Fianna Fáil councillor and appeal among independent voters in a constituency with a history of supporting non-party candidates. A May 7 Irish Times/TG4 poll placed Kyne narrowly ahead on first preferences at 17 percent to Thomas's 16 percent, with Labour's Helen Ogbu at 12 percent, highlighting a fragmented field that favors transfers for independents. With polling set for May 22 and no government party winning a by-election since 2014, market pricing emphasizes Thomas's momentum on cost-of-living and local issues over Kyne's established party organization.
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
ভলিউম
$47,329শেষ তারিখ
Mar 31, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Noel Thomas of Independent Ireland leads the Galway West by-election market at 47 percent, ahead of Fine Gael's Seán Kyne at 31 percent, reflecting trader assessments of his strong local profile as a former Fianna Fáil councillor and appeal among independent voters in a constituency with a history of supporting non-party candidates. A May 7 Irish Times/TG4 poll placed Kyne narrowly ahead on first preferences at 17 percent to Thomas's 16 percent, with Labour's Helen Ogbu at 12 percent, highlighting a fragmented field that favors transfers for independents. With polling set for May 22 and no government party winning a by-election since 2014, market pricing emphasizes Thomas's momentum on cost-of-living and local issues over Kyne's established party organization.
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
ভলিউম
$47,329শেষ তারিখ
Mar 31, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Noel Thomas of Independent Ireland leads the Galway West by-election market at 47 percent, ahead of Fine Gael's Seán Kyne at 31 percent, reflecting trader assessments of his strong local profile as a former Fianna Fáil councillor and appeal among independent voters in a constituency with a history of supporting non-party candidates. A May 7 Irish Times/TG4 poll placed Kyne narrowly ahead on first preferences at 17 percent to Thomas's 16 percent, with Labour's Helen Ogbu at 12 percent, highlighting a fragmented field that favors transfers for independents. With polling set for May 22 and no government party winning a by-election since 2014, market pricing emphasizes Thomas's momentum on cost-of-living and local issues over Kyne's established party organization.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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