The 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial election remains wide open more than ten months before the June 6 vote, with trader consensus reflected in low probabilities across dozens of listed candidates. Early positioning within Morena, the state's dominant force, shows Beatriz Mojica Morga and others such as Esthela Damián Peralta and Abelina López Rodríguez gaining attention in limited surveys, while figures like Félix Salgado Macedonio face internal hurdles. Opposition contenders including Erika Lorena Lührs of Movimiento Ciudadano and candidates from PRI and additional parties further fragment the field. No party nominations have been finalized, and security conditions plus coalition negotiations continue to shape the landscape. Upcoming internal party processes and polling updates through late 2026 could shift relative positioning among the leading aspirants.