The fragmented field for Guinea-Bissau’s December 6, 2026 presidential vote stems from the November 2025 coup that annulled the prior contest and installed a military transitional junta. Fernando Dias da Costa holds a modest lead on trader consensus through his strong 2025 performance, opposition endorsements including from the PAIGC, and positioning as a challenger in the two-round system. Umaro Sissoco Embaló trails after his ouster, while a broad array of independents and lesser-known figures split remaining support amid a legal ban on opinion polls. Consolidation behind one contender could occur through party coalitions, junta-mediated agreements, or late campaign momentum in the run-up to the vote.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডGuinea-Bissau Presidential Election
Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election
Fernando Dias da Costa 10.8%
Siga Batista 5.5%
Baciro Djá 2.8%
José Mário Vaz 2.6%
$336,739 Vol.
$336,739 Vol.
Nov 23, 2025
Fernando Dias da Costa
11%
Siga Batista
5%
Baciro Djá
3%
José Mário Vaz
3%
Honório Augusto Lopes
3%
João de Deus Mendes
3%
Mamadu Iaia Djaló
2%
Gabriel Fernando Indi
2%
João Bernardo Vieira
2%
Mário da Silva Júnior
2%
Herculano Armando Bequinsa
1%
Umaro Sissoco Embaló
12%
Fernando Dias da Costa 10.8%
Siga Batista 5.5%
Baciro Djá 2.8%
José Mário Vaz 2.6%
$336,739 Vol.
$336,739 Vol.
Nov 23, 2025
Fernando Dias da Costa
$57,612 Vol.
11%
Siga Batista
$24,522 Vol.
5%
Baciro Djá
$14,532 Vol.
3%
José Mário Vaz
$22,281 Vol.
3%
Honório Augusto Lopes
$18,714 Vol.
3%
João de Deus Mendes
$17,755 Vol.
3%
Mamadu Iaia Djaló
$19,952 Vol.
2%
Gabriel Fernando Indi
$19,458 Vol.
2%
João Bernardo Vieira
$16,799 Vol.
2%
Mário da Silva Júnior
$18,350 Vol.
2%
Herculano Armando Bequinsa
$16,236 Vol.
1%
Umaro Sissoco Embaló
$90,528 Vol.
12%
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).The fragmented field for Guinea-Bissau’s December 6, 2026 presidential vote stems from the November 2025 coup that annulled the prior contest and installed a military transitional junta. Fernando Dias da Costa holds a modest lead on trader consensus through his strong 2025 performance, opposition endorsements including from the PAIGC, and positioning as a challenger in the two-round system. Umaro Sissoco Embaló trails after his ouster, while a broad array of independents and lesser-known figures split remaining support amid a legal ban on opinion polls. Consolidation behind one contender could occur through party coalitions, junta-mediated agreements, or late campaign momentum in the run-up to the vote.
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 6, 2025, 6:18 PM ET
ভলিউম
$336,739শেষ তারিখ
Nov 23, 2025মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 6, 2025, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).The fragmented field for Guinea-Bissau’s December 6, 2026 presidential vote stems from the November 2025 coup that annulled the prior contest and installed a military transitional junta. Fernando Dias da Costa holds a modest lead on trader consensus through his strong 2025 performance, opposition endorsements including from the PAIGC, and positioning as a challenger in the two-round system. Umaro Sissoco Embaló trails after his ouster, while a broad array of independents and lesser-known figures split remaining support amid a legal ban on opinion polls. Consolidation behind one contender could occur through party coalitions, junta-mediated agreements, or late campaign momentum in the run-up to the vote.
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
ভলিউম
$336,739শেষ তারিখ
Nov 23, 2025মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 6, 2025, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The fragmented field for Guinea-Bissau’s December 6, 2026 presidential vote stems from the November 2025 coup that annulled the prior contest and installed a military transitional junta. Fernando Dias da Costa holds a modest lead on trader consensus through his strong 2025 performance, opposition endorsements including from the PAIGC, and positioning as a challenger in the two-round system. Umaro Sissoco Embaló trails after his ouster, while a broad array of independents and lesser-known figures split remaining support amid a legal ban on opinion polls. Consolidation behind one contender could occur through party coalitions, junta-mediated agreements, or late campaign momentum in the run-up to the vote.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডসম্পর্কিত
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
31%
Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election?
71%
ফ্লাভিও বোলসোনারো কি ২০২৬ ব্রাজিলিয়ান প্রেসিডেন্ট নির্বাচনের প্রথম দফায় দ্বিতীয় স্থানে শেষ করবেন?
83%
হ্যাঁ
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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