Trader consensus implies a near-certain 32°C high in Hong Kong on August 4, driven by official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and regional model consensus showing typical midsummer conditions with light winds, high solar insolation, and minimal cloud cover under subtropical ridge influence. This aligns with climatological baselines where August daily maxima often reach 31–33°C at the official measurement site. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective development or a brief sea breeze surge that could cap the peak 1–2°C lower, or localized urban heat effects pushing readings higher at alternative stations—though current model runs show low probability for such shifts before the daily maximum is recorded.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 4?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 4?
32°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$238,691 Vol.
$238,691 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C or higher
<1%
32°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$238,691 Vol.
$238,691 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
23°C or below
$637 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$987 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$960 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$7,989 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$18,440 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$21,099 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$35,666 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$27,225 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$32,239 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$42,759 Vol.
100%
33°C or higher
$50,689 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus implies a near-certain 32°C high in Hong Kong on August 4, driven by official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and regional model consensus showing typical midsummer conditions with light winds, high solar insolation, and minimal cloud cover under subtropical ridge influence. This aligns with climatological baselines where August daily maxima often reach 31–33°C at the official measurement site. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective development or a brief sea breeze surge that could cap the peak 1–2°C lower, or localized urban heat effects pushing readings higher at alternative stations—though current model runs show low probability for such shifts before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ভলিউম
$238,691শেষ তারিখ
Aug 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus implies a near-certain 32°C high in Hong Kong on August 4, driven by official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and regional model consensus showing typical midsummer conditions with light winds, high solar insolation, and minimal cloud cover under subtropical ridge influence. This aligns with climatological baselines where August daily maxima often reach 31–33°C at the official measurement site. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective development or a brief sea breeze surge that could cap the peak 1–2°C lower, or localized urban heat effects pushing readings higher at alternative stations—though current model runs show low probability for such shifts before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$238,691শেষ তারিখ
Aug 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus implies a near-certain 32°C high in Hong Kong on August 4, driven by official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and regional model consensus showing typical midsummer conditions with light winds, high solar insolation, and minimal cloud cover under subtropical ridge influence. This aligns with climatological baselines where August daily maxima often reach 31–33°C at the official measurement site. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective development or a brief sea breeze surge that could cap the peak 1–2°C lower, or localized urban heat effects pushing readings higher at alternative stations—though current model runs show low probability for such shifts before the daily maximum is recorded.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা